Search Results for: Ukraine
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Peter Brookes: Russia and North Korea: Similar bed, different dreams
Russia and North Korea have grown closer amid the war in Ukraine, but the partnership will likely remain transactional and businesslike.
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Karl-Friedrich Israel: Wealth inequality: Causes and political responses
Misguided policies and inflation have drastically reduced social mobility. Political backlash will follow.
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Matt Boyse: What to expect from Poland’s next government
A center-left ruling team is about to replace a conservative one in Warsaw. Expect improved relations with Brussels and Berlin and shifts in many current policies.
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Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: Will China gain from President Biden’s reelection campaign?
Hounded by significant policy problems, the U.S. leader is making nice with struggling China in hopes of boosting his chances in 2024.
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Stefan Hedlund: The fate of the Russian Far East takes on greater urgency
Moscow’s dependence on China has deepened because of its war on Ukraine while Beijing is interested in ensuring the survival of the Russian state.
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Enrico Colombatto: A soft landing for China?
Despite outwardly positive indicators, China’s economy faces some troubling dynamics, from centralized decision-making to the overextended Belt and Road Initiative.
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Beat Eberle: The future of MONUSCO
The United Nations mission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo faces operational challenges amid ongoing instability, in addition to struggling with allegations of misconduct.
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Carole Nakhle: A rising China is reshaping global energy markets
As its energy footprint grows, China is intent on maintaining a diversified supply, even with Russian flows increasing.
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Stanislaw Koziej: NATO’s doctrine revolution
The 31-nation alliance is shifting its doctrine from a reactive stance to preemptive defense, prompted by Russia’s war on Ukraine.
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Lord David Alton of Liverpool: Genocide and the fight for humanity
The upcoming commemoration of the 75th anniversary of the United Nations Convention on Genocide should force the world to ask: ‘Why again?’
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Teresa Nogueira Pinto: Deepening dysfunction in Zimbabwe
The economic and political dysfunction that has plagued Zimbabwe for years is unlikely to lift anytime soon, leading to increased emigration and a drift toward Russia and China.
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Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: Making the free world prevail
Free societies can thrive by rediscovering and acting on their strengths. Values, including those of personal responsibility, must be at the core of a revival.
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Michael Leigh: Is multi-alignment a path to chaos or order?
A truly multipolar world would dilute the importance of China and the United States, but the two superpower rivals are not going to cede influence easily.
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Beat Eberle: Switzerland’s eroded defense capabilities
Seeking the supposed peace dividend after the Cold War, the Swiss dismantled critical parts of their unique national defense system. Restoring it is proving difficult.
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Peter Brookes: Geopolitical wrangling over Iran’s nuclear program
Iran has demonstrated grit and determination in mastering nuclear technology. The time it would now need to build atomic weapons may be too short for the West’s comfort.
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Paul Schwennesen: Eyewitness to war: Assessing Ukraine’s counteroffensive
How one attack revealed the strengths, weaknesses and massive losses on both sides. Only incremental advances by Ukraine are likely through the winter.
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Teresa Nogueira Pinto: Debt-crushed Ghana is turning volatile
Ghana, one of Africa’s most democratic and fastest-growing states, has been backsliding into turmoil caused by its external debt and the rising costs of living.
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Prashanth Parameswaran: The future of Indonesia-China relations after Jokowi
The next president will have to navigate China’s growing importance to Indonesia’s economy with Beijing’s growing assertiveness in Southeast Asia.
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Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: The secular threat of inflation and debt
Today’s irresponsible economic policies are repeating historical mistakes, risking catastrophic consequences similar to those experienced in the past.
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Pierre Boussel: Separating propaganda from reality in Iran’s economy
While Tehran has made diplomatic inroads to ease isolation from the West, domestic troubles will not go away for the mullahs in charge.
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Vahan P. Roth: The promise and peril of Worldcoin
The crypto-backed biometric identity network promises to upend finance, governance and democracy itself. Is Worldcoin a magic bullet, tool for despotism or pipe dream?
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Pierre Boussel: Successes and uncertainties for the Israeli defense industry
The hitherto booming Israeli defense sector is facing geopolitical strife, supply scarcities and shifting internal demographics.
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Stefan Hedlund: Russia’s PMC Wagner dies, but its spirit lives on
The rise and fall of mercenary leader Yevgeny Prigozhin offers intriguing insight into the dangerous state of Vladimir Putin’s Russia.
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James Jay Carafano: The future of U.S. energy and climate policies
These two issues radically divide the American polity. Federal energy policies can be upended after elections, but the states provide some continuity.
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Emmanuel Martin: France torn between Morocco and Algeria
Energy needs and historical ties have pulled France toward Algeria. Meanwhile, relations with Morocco have grown strained, but this might change.
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Paul Schwennesen: Eyewitness to war: Assessing the Ukrainian capacity to fight
The intensity of Ukraine’s resistance to Russia will likely remain strong for at least another year, but worrisome problems need to be solved.
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Lord David Alton of Liverpool: Forever wars
Nations have sadly not renounced invasions or armed conflicts, requiring peace-seeking countries to strengthen alliances in hopes of preventing such violence.
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Enrico Colombatto: Hoping for a soft landing in the global economy
The war on inflation is unlikely to trigger a global recession, but one could still take place because of other problems in the international economy.
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James Jay Carafano: War in Israel casts doubt on U.S. Middle East policy
The Biden administration’s attempts to engage Iran have encouraged Israel’s enemies and could soon force the United States to make dreadful choices.
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Amatzia Baram: Behind Israel’s momentous failure
Israeli leaders grew complacent about security near Gaza, were distracted by internal issues and underestimated Hamas’s violent ideology.
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Peter Brookes: Russia’s strategy in sending tactical nuclear weapons to Belarus
The Kremlin’s move may be more saber-rattling, but it also heightens the security concerns of NATO members.
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Karl-Peter Schwarz: In Central Europe, time may not be on Ukraine’s side
A Slovakian election could tilt its foreign policy toward Russia, like Hungary, leaving the Czech Republic as the only firm Ukraine ally among four small nations that include Austria.
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James Jay Carafano: The ebb and flow of the Three Seas Initiative
Poland’s October 15 elections may give a boost to the regional development idea that has so far not lived up to its promise.
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Matt Boyse: Vote may reverse Slovakia’s pro-Western policies
The pro-Russian populist party of ex-prime minister Robert Fico is leading polls in the run-up to a snap parliamentary election. His victory would be welcome in the Kremlin.
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Stefan Hedlund: Russian arms exports in a tailspin
The Kremlin’s war on Ukraine has weakened Russia’s standing as a global arms exporter, with a market share that will likely continue to shrink.
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Aparna Pande: India’s realpolitik Myanmar policy
While India needs to maintain good relations with Myanmar to achieve several strategic objectives, the ties between the two countries have been clouded by regional challenges.
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Stefan Hedlund: Values vs. spheres of influence
The war in Ukraine has exposed the moral divide between the West and Russia. The Kremlin believes in spheres of influence backed by military power. The West has no hope of success unless it steels itself for the hard realities ahead.
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Stefan Hedlund: Ukraine gridlocked
Since the EU has framed the conflict in Donbas in moral terms that do not allow it to admit failure, it must maintain the pretense of success – giving Russia and Ukraine ample leeway to play their own games of deception. Yet the costs of this false equilibrium – to the EU, Russia, and Ukraine itself – are too large to be sustained indefinitely.
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Stefan Hedlund: Georgia’s future may hinge on Russia’s war in Ukraine
While Georgian society wants to be closer to Europe and regain its lost territories, pro-Russian leaders are positioning the Caucasus nation of 3.7 million people as a Kremlin ally.
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Federica Saini Fasanotti: The Wagner group’s web in Libya
Russia has developed a complex network of influence in Libya through the Wagner group and will likely keep using private military actors to maintain its leverage.
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Stefan Hedlund: Ensuring Ukraine’s postwar security
Deterring Russian aggression and guaranteeing Ukrainian security will require either NATO membership or a long-term, Western-backed military buildup for Kyiv.
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GIS Feature: Ukraine’s war effort is hobbled by spies, traitors – and corruption
President Volodymyr Zelenskiy fired the nation’s top two law enforcers, triggering the latest scandal over Ukraine’s corruption and weak governance.
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Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: Beyond the Ukraine war
Whatever the outcome of the war in Ukraine, eventually the West, and especially Europe, will have to learn to live with Russia, finding a path forward based on mutual respect.
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Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: Ukraine requires unity
The EU must show unity with Poland and Hungary as Russia’s war rages.
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John Polga-Hecimovich: The Russian invasion and Latin America
Following economic downturns caused by Covid-19, the war in Ukraine is threatening to push the region into recession, challenging the skills and wisdom of politicians.
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Emmanuel Martin: Ukraine’s other war
As Ukraine’s forces battle Russia, Kyiv’s political leaders need to battle corruption. One place to start is by creating a fair, simple and transparent tax system.
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Frank Umbach: The future of Ukraine’s energy transit status
The Nord Stream 2 pipeline threatens to circumvent Ukraine, which has offered lowered gas transit rates to Gazprom if it scraps the project and allows other exporters to pass through the country. Russia is uninterested in such a deal, but rising forecasts of European gas demand mean that the Kremlin must continue to rely on Ukraine.
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Stanislaw Koziej: Russia-Ukraine war: Scenarios
The essence of Russia’s escalation doctrine is seeking military victory by blackmailing opponents with the rising costs of the conflict – to the point of breaking the psychological and material endurance of the other party.
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Junhua Zhang: Taiwan and the Ukraine-Russia crisis
How far the U.S. is prepared to go to uphold global norms in Ukraine will be telling for the Taiwan issue, especially with China playing an increasingly key role in the West’s standoff with Russia.
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Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: Staying coolheaded over Ukraine
With Russian troops at the Ukrainian border, NATO appears to have regrouped, but several challenges lie ahead before a solution can be found. Most importantly, Kyiv should be an active player in further negotiations.