After he’s gone: three paths for Zimbabwe

Zimbabwe President Robert Mugabe and his wife Grace greet supporters at a rally
May 25, 2016: President Robert Mugabe (C) and his wife Grace (R) greet thousands of supporters of the ruling ZANU-PF party at a rally in Harare, Zimbabwe (source: dpa)
  • Zimbabwe’s financial crisis has exposed fissures in the ZANU-PF ruling party
  • President Robert Mugabe’s heir apparent, Emmerson Mnangagwa, is backing IMF-prescribed reforms
  • Reforms could be blocked by the G40 group around first lady Grace Mugabe

The most blatant obstacle to economic reform is political uncertainty, which can be expected to continue as long as the 92-year Mr. Mugabe is around. Indeed, the hidden power struggle around the aging president has exposed reformers to attack from Mugabe loyalists.

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