Changes in the political landscape
The political changes now becoming evident in most democratic countries are often decried as caused by “populists.” So-called radical movements, however, can also be seen as a response to the failures of self-absorbed political “elites.” Consequently, the shifts they prompt may be a form of creative destruction necessary to make room for more effective policies and free debate.
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New Opportunities 2021: Latin America’s difficult outlook
Economic downturns, political mismanagement and natural disasters have sharply increased poverty rates and inequality. As discontent grows, populist politicians could make big gains. China will look to increase its influence in the region, challenging the Biden administration’s commitment to cooperation and multilateralism.
Why Hungary and Poland are sticking together
When Poland's and Hungary’s leaders jointly threatened to veto the EU’s Covid recovery fund last December, they argued it was in defense of their sovereignty. The nations’ historical traumas notwithstanding, both governments are rumbling down the path toward authoritarianism.
Systemic competition: China’s challenge to the West in 2021 and beyond
This year marks the centenary of the founding of the Communist Party of China. By its end, Beijing wants to have built a “moderately prosperous society.” In parallel, President Xi Jinping seems ready to embark on an all-out contest between statist China and the liberal Western economies. While the Middle ...
The Kremlin’s Chechen factor
The latest violent chapter in the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh has rebalanced geopolitical realities in the South Caucasus. Turkey has made significant progress in expanding its role there. Even more disturbingly for the Kremlin, the 2020 war has been associated with a surge in radical political Islam that threatens to spill ...
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More Disruptions
Expanding state
A trend toward increased government influence in economies and personal life is curbing growth, and freedom, in many Western countries. The outsized role of government results in misplaced incentives, overregulation – which restrains markets and competition – and irresponsible budgetary ...
Middle East politics
The region, one of the cradles of civilization, is going through a turbulent period of historic realignment. Its powers are vying for political, military, economic and religious dominance with local players and outside actors. Armed conflicts, mainly civil wars, are ...
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