GIS Dossier: From Mao to Xi, China’s quest for growth
China’s explosive growth has made it the emerging hegemon of Asia and one of the most powerful engines of the global economy. But if the giant country fails to meet the challenges that lay ahead, it may also cause a lot of turmoil in the 21st century.
China is playing for keeps in Southeast Asia
In addition to becoming a prime global economic power, China is striving to become the hegemon in Southeast Asia. Expansionist policies in the China Seas are crucial to this design and Beijing is not going to back off. Neither its neighbors in the region, nor the rules of international law, nor the Western powers appear to be in a position to prevent the Middle Kingdom from fulfilling its ambition.
China’s stealth expansion in Latin America
Donald Trump's short tenure in the White House has already enhanced China's low-profile but pervasive influence in Latin America. While Chinese trade penetration has slowed, investment and infrastructure lending are expanding at a brisk pace. Perhaps most helpful to Beijing has been Mr. Trump's general indifference to the region, though some generals in his national security apparatus are beginning to fret.
China and the automobile’s future
China has become the world’s biggest car manufacturer, but not a global player in the industry. Rapid change in automotive technology, though, provides it with the same challenges and opportunities as it does the industry’s leaders. Chinese companies are investing heavily in electric car and autonomous-vehicle designs. Much more needs to happen, though, both in China and in the global environment, for the Asian giant to be able to go international.
The U.S. and China’s ‘free trade’ agendas
The United States and China are not true champions of free trade. Beijing pushes exports but effectively curbs imports through a maze of administrative obstacles. Washington traditionally concentrates on job protection and creation; its trade policies reflect these priorities.
China lacks the wherewithal to adjust to demographic decline
Within a decade, China will enter a difficult stretch. As its population begins to shrink and rapidly turn gray, the country will experience monumental strains in its economic, social and political systems. Beijing will try to tackle the challenge with fewer resources than China’s richer neighbors in the Far East can throw at the problem.
A Balkan Benelux can prevent a clash between history and geography
The Balkans entered turbulent waters which have still not calmed down 100 years since the First World War. Borders were the top priority for countries as new geographies were drafted and re-drafted. New countries were created and old ones dissolved. But unresolved ethnic issues have remained and the limited geography has been unable to digest such a heavy history. ...
Energy prices link America’s Asian pivot and Middle East instability
United States foreign policy in the Middle East and the Far East is becoming increasingly interlinked by the price of energy. Oil prices are the trigger to instability spreading from the Middle East to America’s major trading partners - China and Japan - and Asia’s other markets. Energy prices will play a vital role in crisis management as perception grows that the...
The impact, role and influence of America’s emerging new global policy
America is developing a new global role which will see it shift from a global policeman to a fixer among the world’s trouble spots. The US is evolving into a less polarised position and is taking the centre ground as it re-balances its position on global issues and acts more as a mediator to resolve difficulties which threaten world peace. ...
Russia fears regional instability after Nato leaves Afghanistan
Russia plans to set up military maintenance bases in Afghanistan to service the Afghan army’s weapons and hardware when Nato pulls out in 2014. It is in Russia’s interest that the region on its southern borders remains stable. But Russia fears that the withdrawal of Nato troops could lead to militant Islamic groups extending their reach into neighbouring countries ...