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population is aging rapidly, a trend that will put huge strain on its economy
and pension system. China is not the only country with this problem, but it is
much poorer than many of its Western counterparts facing similar challenges.
The government is working on measures to address the problem, but these will
ultimately prove to be too little, too late.
election of Donald Trump in the United States brings with it a great deal of
uncertainty for China and its leaders. It could face the threat of a trade war,
and diplomatic challenges regarding Taiwan and the South China Sea. However, as
Washington takes a more isolationist stance, 2017 will also offer China the
opportunity to fill the vacuum.
Chinese President Xi Jinping has consolidated his power and now is pushing to make a lasting impact, including by changing the rules to remain in office for a third term. It looks likely that he will achieve his goals, but plenty of obstacles still stand in his way. Expect him to emphasize ideology over practical economics. If his efforts stall, he may turn to the military for support.
Nearly a year and a half after Hong Kong’s “umbrella revolution” (Sept.-Dec. 2014), the legacy of the seemingly unsuccessful protest still dominates Hong Kong’s political debate. This adds a new twist to the city’s already complicated relations with Beijing, writes GIS Guest Expert Joseph Dobbs. Perceived interference by...
Despite the escalation of tensions on the Korean peninsula and over the Senkaku Islands, there are signs that Japan and China realise that they have little to gain from mutual conflict. The two nations have new leaders and neither wants to lose face. One way out of the impasse could be the revival of trade talks between Japan, China and South Korea.
Dr. Stefan Lippert