Minsk, Belarus, 11 Feb. 2015: the leaders of France, Germany, Russia and Ukraine meet to discuss a new peace plan for war-torn Ukraine (photo: dpa)

Conflict in Donbass inches toward settlement despite ceasefire violations

Ukrainian leaders have claimed that Europe and its values are at stake in Donbass, and, more recently, that their country has been drawn into a ‘real’ interstate war with Russia. This rhetoric is harmful. It aims at extorting Western military support, which both United States' President Barack Obama and Nato at large have ruled out. It also makes the positions of Russia and the self-proclaimed Donbass republics more difficult when the time comes to start talks building on the Minsk ceasefire agreements.

Russia is an indispensible party to any solution. The Minsk agreements remained ambiguous on Ukraine's future constitution with regard to the status of the two ‘people's republics’ in...

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Dr. Uwe Nerlich
The future status of the Republic of Crimea depends on how Crimea’s new modus vivendi is established in the Russian-Ukrainian context; in the end, it is a fair guess that it will stay within the Russian Federation.
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