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Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan waves to supporters, with Turkish and EU flags in the background

Scenarios for the future of the EU-Turkey relationship

The relationship between Turkey and the European Union is on the rocks. Turkey cannot be considered eligible for membership, but the accession process remains officially ongoing. A collapse of the talks seems likely – but that would cause more problems than it would solve. Forging a new kind of partnership would have plenty of benefits, but would require ending accession negotiations. Sticking with the status quo gives both sides what they want, for now.

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