The U.S. military’s skeptical response to hybrid warfare
Hybrid warfare has been a hot concept in the military and security community since the mid-2000s. But it has not made much of a dent on U.S. military doctrine, which is more concerned with urban warfare and its own theory of “multi-domain battle.” At the strategic level, American planners do not consider hybrid warfare as an operating principle – just one of a plethora of threats they must face.
Japan’s defense: easing the constitutional corset
As China emerges as East Asia’s dominant power and the unpredictable North Korean regime acquires offensive nuclear capability, nearby Japan is taking further steps to relax its constitutional ban on maintaining armed forces. Amending the constitution may not yet be in the cards, but beefing up the country’s arms industry has already started.
Opinion: Peace in Europe and the importance of NATO
Tensions are rising as global power shifts toward China and Russia. Europe’s security is at risk. The countries on this northwestern edge of the Eurasian-African landmass must understand their special position in limiting incursions from the east toward the North Atlantic. This means providing for a robust defense and establishing a credible deterrent. If Europe fails to do this, it could become the battlefield in the next great global war.
Scenarios for Central and Eastern Europe in a Russia-NATO conflict
Geopolitically, the region between Russia and Western Europe is among the most volatile parts of the globe: in the 20th century alone, it was a major theater for two world wars and the Cold War. As relations between the West and Russia sour, the region may again see its fate decided by outside powers – this time, the triad of the United States, the European Union and Russia.
Trump pushes U.S. defense buildup
The Trump administration has recently announced its budget priorities, and the most eye-catching figure was the $54 billion increase in defense spending, to $603 billion. Though there is wide agreement that the U.S. military is under increasing stress and is becoming less able to defend American interests, the proposal is highly controversial. The most likely scenario, however, is that the end of defense reductions in the U.S. is over.
Europe’s choice: global player or dependence
Europe runs the risk of again being caught in the great tug-of-war between East and West. Its geopolitical imperatives require it to maintain strong ties with the U.S., while talking on a level playing field with Russia and trading freely with Asia. To do so, it must find its identity, establish a credible defense and implement a coordinated foreign policy – all while abstaining from harmonization and encouraging internal competition. Whether it chooses to follow this path will determine its future.