Demographics and migrations
Changes in demographic structures have always had an impact on geopolitics. As globalization increases and it becomes easier for people to move from place to place, these factors are transforming how countries interact with each other. Aging societies may become more protectionist while population declines could thwart developing countries’ ambitions to become prosperous.
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European migration as a political tool
The recent migrant crisis between Morocco and Spain was just the latest example of "weaponized" immigration seen by European Union countries. Gatekeeper states will likely continue to use migration for political ends, the threat of which will shape foreign policy for frontline EU members. The risk of border instability and a new, prolonged refugee crisis is real.
Biden’s immigration policies: The impact on U.S. politics
The new administration has done an about-face on immigration compared with its predecessor. As if on cue, illegal immigration and asylum applications have rocketed. So far, the president shows no sign of changing course, but as the public wearies of the problems illegal immigration causes, President Biden could find himself ...
Feel-good immigration policies in the U.S. and Europe
The U.S. and Europe face a flood of migrants. In both cases, leaders have signaled that immigrants would be welcome, spurring a wave of foreigners hoping to enter. But in Europe especially, a misplaced attempt at humanitarianism has made it easier for immigrants to abuse the system. On the other ...
New Opportunities 2021: Latin America’s difficult outlook
Economic downturns, political mismanagement and natural disasters have sharply increased poverty rates and inequality. As discontent grows, populist politicians could make big gains. China will look to increase its influence in the region, challenging the Biden administration’s commitment to cooperation and multilateralism.
Covid-19’s impact on slum upgrading in Latin America
The Covid-19 pandemic has provided an incentive for Latin American cities with high-density slums to rethink their approach to slum upgrading efforts. Rebuilding the informal settlements to ease population density and other structural issues is not likely in crisis-stricken economies. However, new technologies are making a dent in the problem.
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More Disruptions
Expanding state
A trend toward increased government influence in economies and personal life is curbing growth, and freedom, in many Western countries. The outsized role of government results in misplaced incentives, overregulation – which restrains markets and competition – and irresponsible budgetary ...
Middle East politics
The region, one of the cradles of civilization, is going through a turbulent period of historic realignment. Its powers are vying for political, military, economic and religious dominance with local players and outside actors. Armed conflicts, mainly civil wars, are ...
