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The U.S. will stay active on the arms control front
While arms control is unlikely to play an important role in the lead-up to the 2020 elections, the issue could resurface shortly after. The current administration is dissatisfied with the New START Treaty, from which the U.S. is likely to withdraw if President Trump is reelected. There has also been high-level criticism of the Treaty on Open Skies. Washington may seek new agreements involving China instead.
GIS Dossier: ASEAN
During its five decades of existence, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations has brought together a formerly divided region and laid the groundwork for the rise of a powerful regional – and possibly global – actor. However, the organization has experienced setbacks in recent years, most of them related to ...
Opinion: U.S. impeachment’s Pyrrhic victories
The discourse around President Donald Trump’s impeachment and acquittal has been characterized by bitter attacks, self-righteousness and moralizing put-downs. To go beyond this state of affairs, both sides will need to address the unresolved questions that emerged during the hearing – in a manner that reflects the American constitutional spirit, ...
EU-U.S. trade row spreads to automotive industry
Already burdened with tightening regulations at home and growing competition abroad, the European automotive industry is now facing the threat of U.S. tariffs as the trade dispute between Washington and Brussels escalates. A deal could materialize before the end of March 2020 if both parties compromise, especially on U.S. agricultural ...
Near-term scenarios for the U.S.-Iran competition
Reports that the recent U.S. and Iranian attacks against each other are leading to war significantly exaggerate the situation. Each country’s moves are part of long-standing strategies focused on influencing the other’s behavior. As such, similar activities can be expected in the near future. A military conflict, however, would benefit ...
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