East China Sea
2019 Global Outlook: China’s regional impact
China will cast a long shadow in East Asia again this year. 2019, however, is shaping up to be less volatile than 2018. In security matters, expect China to use more “carrot” than “stick” as its neighbors try to balance Beijing against Washington. In economic terms, a stimulus program and a trade understanding with the United States could ameliorate China’s slowdown.
A free and open Indo-Pacific: Regional and global implications
One of the techniques devised for managing China’s ascent and its destabilizing impact is the concept of a “free and open Indo-Pacific.” This idea, embraced by the governments of Japan, India and the United States, includes military, economic, political, legal and diplomatic dimensions. Some argue it is a smoke screen to mask U.S. disengagement, while others maintain it is a Japanese-inspired effort to enlist American help.
Geopolitics drives Japan’s economy
Japanese companies are making a big push overseas. The phenomenon is a result of a shrinking population, but also geopolitical pressure from China. To counter Beijing’s influence, Japan is using its economic heft to expand its reach and protect its interests. Its ties with countries like India and Australia will continue to grow, and it will step into the vacuums left by a withdrawing United States and an overstretched China.
GIS Dossier: China’s global ambition
The People’s Republic of China is now attaining military might commensurate with its global economic position. This emerging colossus faces a dramatic demographic challenge at home, however, and stiff international resistance to some of its key strategic goals.
Opinion: Military situation heats up on China’s perimeter
The main threat to world peace can be found not in Eastern Europe or the Middle East, but along a 6,000-mile stretch of land and sea on Asia’s eastern and southern rim. As China’s push for access to the sea runs up against a picket line of U.S. allies and bases, potential conflicts are brewing.
China modifies its lending strategy to Africa and Latin America
China has overtaken the IMF and the World Bank as the biggest provider of loans to African and Latin American governments. But that could soon change as slower Chinese growth and huge investments in Eurasian transportation networks have crimped Beijing’s finances. The inevitable cutbacks will strain what has been a mutual beneficial relationship between China and other developing countries.
Beijing’s maritime militias add to growing instability in the China Seas
Territorial waters disputes in East Asia have led to an arms race in the region. Military expenditure by East and Southeast Asian nations has risen by almost 90 percent between 2005 and 2015. A striking feature of the evolving geopolitical game is the increasing use of civilian maritime militias; at this point, China is positioned to win this lesser-arms race.
China’s new leaders step towards reconciliation with Japan
Despite the escalation of tensions on the Korean peninsula and over the Senkaku Islands, there are signs that Japan and China realise that they have little to gain from mutual conflict. The two nations have new leaders and neither wants to lose face. One way out of the impasse could be the revival of trade talks between Japan, China and South Korea. ...
Senkaku conflict takes Japan and China a step closer to war
The conflict between China and Japan over the Senkaku Islands escalated when both sides moved from maritime scuffles to the use of airpower in their territorial dispute. The Senkaku crisis in the East China Sea involves global players which both have new leaders wanting to establish themselves. The dispute has also caused both China and Japan economic damage. Japan...