Economic trends
Growth, recessions, fiscal policy, monetary policy, currencies and global business deals. GIS experts provide forecasts and potential scenarios for all of the economic trends that shape geopolitics.
Disruptions on Economic trends
Europe adrift
Brexit is a symptom of the European Union’s internal disarray. In quick succession, the debt crisis, the Ukraine crisis and the migration crisis all challenged centralist visions of ever-deeper integration and soft-power expansion. The political mainstream’s abandonment of traditional values ...
Changes in the political landscape
The political changes now becoming evident in most democratic countries are often decried as caused by “populists.” So-called radical movements, however, can also be seen as a response to the failures of self-absorbed political “elites.” Consequently, the shifts they prompt ...
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Zombies and stagflation: Mario Draghi’s crisis prescription
In late March, Mario Draghi broke his post-ECB silence with an article in the Financial Times that set out several recipes for how to address the economic difficulties brought on by measures to contain the COVID-19 pandemic. Essentially calling for a “whatever it takes” part two, he urged central banks to open the liquidity gates and governments to take on huge debt burdens. There is a significant question however, about whether those measures will solve the problem or compound it.
Sunday Opinion: The art of creating an environment for healthy longevity
Longevity research shows that the building blocks of health are developed early and cultivated throughout the years. Centenarians tend to have a sense of meaning and purpose, and access to resources to overcome challenges. A lucky draw in the genetic pool lottery plays only a secondary role.
Relevance beyond the crisis: The future of coronomics
The coronavirus outbreak has led to a new trend – “coronomics.” The word is most often used to describe the difficult economic reality that will arise in a post-pandemic world. Concerns over this state of affairs have caused many economists to adopt an approach meant to be more humane than ...
Relevance beyond the crisis: Scenarios for India’s economy
Before coronavirus hit, New Delhi had an ambitious budget plan for the 2020-2021 fiscal year. Today, India’s government has a third of the economy under lockdown and strives to preserve the country’s development momentum. Some powerful factors are working in India’s favor, but others could drag it down.
Business strategies are needed for the rough economic stretch ahead
Governments and supranational organizations that weakened the economy’s resilience with overspending, accumulating debt and arbitrary taxation before the pandemic are now doing more damage. They have resorted to scare tactics to expand their control under the pretext of responding to the downturn brought on by lockdowns. The short- and mid-term ...
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