Economic trends
Growth, recessions, fiscal policy, monetary policy, currencies and global business deals. GIS experts provide forecasts and potential scenarios for all of the economic trends that shape geopolitics.
Disruptions on Economic trends
Expanding state
A trend toward increased government influence in economies and personal life is curbing growth, and freedom, in many Western countries. The outsized role of government results in misplaced incentives, overregulation – which restrains markets and competition – and irresponsible budgetary ...
Russia resurgent
Russia’s incursion in Ukraine raised alarm about a new Cold War, deepened with the intervention in Syria and allegations of meddling in U.S. elections. But the Kremlin’s new assertiveness is largely defensive, while Ukraine’s emergence as a nation-state undermines Moscow’s ...
Reports on Economic trends See all →
The problem with patents
Governments around the world are proposing removing patent protections from vaccines and subsidizing the companies that lose out. But if it hadn't been for patents restricting free markets in the first place, we would likely have more, cheaper vaccines than we do today. Professor Enrico Colombatto explains why patent protection amounts to government abuse.
Russian exports in focus
GIS Guest Expert Dr. Evgeny Gontmakher takes a deep dive into the structure of Russia’s exports, analyzing the strengths and weaknesses. Can the Russian economy make the transition away from its dependence on fossil fuels to meet the challenges of the future?
How ‘functional finance’ becomes heavier taxation
Today’s advocates of Modern Monetary Theory are following in the footsteps of Abba Lerner, an economist who advocated monetizing debt to achieve full employment. Heeding their call to keep printing money until social goals are met can only lead to more taxation – and potentially a heavy burden on the ...
The worrisome mechanics of fiscal Illusion
Around the world, governments are finding ways to hide how much they are really taxing their citizens. Though these practices create a huge drag on economies, current political trends favor increased government spending. GIS expert Emmanuel Martin examines where this is taking us, and if the tide can be turned ...
Quantitative easing and the problem with pensions
European central banks’ quantitative easing policies have not only allowed governments to avoid reforming inefficient public pension programs, they have made private systems far less profitable. As a result, a huge financial burden is put on the young, who may soon decide their future retirement is a relevant political issue.
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