Energy evolution
While attempts are being made to move away from fossil fuels for energy production, the transition is not happening as efficiently as many predict. New methods of extracting oil and gas have kept these resources cheap and plentiful and have turned importers into leading exporters. Meanwhile, failed policies – many of them based more on emotion than on scientific facts – have exacerbated many of the problems energy markets face – or created new ones.
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Oil market outlook: Striking a delicate balance
After a period of stagnation, oil markets have begun to recover and prices are rising again. This development is mostly due to production cuts by the OPEC+ group. However, oil demand is not expected to reach pre-Covid levels before 2022, and the transport sector, which will play a determining role, may struggle to return to the status quo ante, at least in the near future.
Nord Stream 2 divides Germany’s allies
Nord Stream 2 is perhaps Europe’s most controversial energy project. In October, the U.S. slapped another set of sanctions on contractors and suppliers building the pipeline, while the pandemic-induced drop in economic activity has further called into question the initiative’s financial viability. Berlin and Moscow now have a significant dilemma ...
Oil market outlook: Expectations and realities
Since about June, oil prices have remained remarkably stable. Still, plenty of uncertainty remains about when consumption might recover and what the long-term future holds for the world’s energy giants. As a result, oil companies’ shares have declined steadily, proving that the market does not expect a significant rise in ...
Oil market outlook: Sailing in the dark
With forecasts for oil demand and supply highly discouraging, Saudi Arabia enforces strict production caps compliance among OPEC members, warns financial markets “speculators” against betting on falling prices and hints at the possibility of further output cuts. However, U.S. shale producers may interfere with the organization’s strategy once again.
Nigeria’s oil policy at a crossroads
Even before the pandemic, the Nigerian economy faced structural issues. Highly dependent on oil exports for revenue, the country could spiral into a deep recession because of the recent collapse in oil prices. High production costs will also hamper recovery even when global demand returns. If constantly pushed for full ...
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More Disruptions
Expanding state
A trend toward increased government influence in economies and personal life is curbing growth, and freedom, in many Western countries. The outsized role of government results in misplaced incentives, overregulation – which restrains markets and competition – and irresponsible budgetary ...
Middle East politics
The region, one of the cradles of civilization, is going through a turbulent period of historic realignment. Its powers are vying for political, military, economic and religious dominance with local players and outside actors. Armed conflicts, mainly civil wars, are ...
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