Energy evolution
While attempts are being made to move away from fossil fuels for energy production, the transition is not happening as efficiently as many predict. New methods of extracting oil and gas have kept these resources cheap and plentiful and have turned importers into leading exporters. Meanwhile, failed policies – many of them based more on emotion than on scientific facts – have exacerbated many of the problems energy markets face – or created new ones.
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Oil market outlook: A cautious global recovery
The countries in OPEC+ are currently complying with the terms of their deal to restrict output, but this discipline may not last. Meanwhile, oil markets remain at the mercy of the global economic recovery. Demand will need to increase well above the current levels to absorb the inventory buildup accumulated during the lockdowns.
Relevance beyond the crisis: The oil-market crunch
The coronavirus-triggered collapse of global demand for oil has produced the worst disruption in the energy industry’s history. Output reductions agreed upon by OPEC and other major actors have made little difference, as much of the world’s economic activity was frozen by governments. Prices went into freefall in March and ...
Kuwait oil: Time to catch up
At first glance, small Kuwait is sitting pretty with one of the largest known oil deposits under its surface, enough to last more than 90 years. The colossal resource earned the emirate its staggering sovereign wealth fund. However, Kuwait’s single-commodity economy faces a longer-term existential threat as the world begins ...
Oil in the energy transition age
Concerned that demand for oil will dwindle and eventually vanish, energy companies are gradually moving away from fossil fuels and toward renewable energy sources. However, this trend does not apply to state-owned companies, which are proving less responsive to external incentives. As a result, they could end up as the ...
The European Green Deal faces huge challenges
The European Commission’s Green Deal sets extremely ambitious goals for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and investing in environmentally friendly technologies. Yet the huge amount of funding that will be required could fail to materialize, due to intra-EU disagreements over budget rules and debt ceilings. And if other big polluters don’t ...
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More Disruptions
Expanding state
A trend toward increased government influence in economies and personal life is curbing growth, and freedom, in many Western countries. The outsized role of government results in misplaced incentives, overregulation – which restrains markets and competition – and irresponsible budgetary ...
Middle East politics
The region, one of the cradles of civilization, is going through a turbulent period of historic realignment. Its powers are vying for political, military, economic and religious dominance with local players and outside actors. Armed conflicts, mainly civil wars, are ...
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