Expert View supplement GIS’s in-depth reports with incisive opinion. Written by top GIS experts, sometimes challenging and always thought-provoking, these brief commentaries provide an informed viewpoint on crucial geopolitical issues.
Venezuela: a violent stalemate
The government of President Nicolas Maduro in Venezuela is under pressure from all sides: growing discontent at home, increasing calls for change from the international community and shrinking revenue. Still, it refuses to budge, and is meeting resistance with violence. The killing of a musician could be a turning point – but will a solution be found before violence spills over into other parts of the region?
The Chinese economy: it’s about debt
China’s high ratio of debt to gross domestic product (GDP) will necessarily lead to an economic slowdown. The question is whether that can happen in a controlled manner that limits the negative effects on the country and the region, or whether it will bring China’s economy crashing down.
Behind China’s enthusiasm for free trade
Lately China has been a big promoter of free trade. Has Beijing finally come around to the benefits of international capitalism? There are reasons to be skeptical. Among them are centuries-old strains in Chinese philosophy about a strong state, and how to achieve hegemony.
Endgame in Venezuela
A financial noose is tightening around Venezuela's ruling party. Sovereign default is now imminent and U.S. court judgments have exposed the country's international assets to seizure. Without international mediation, President Nicolas Maduro will have to turn to the military for a potentially bloody crackdown.
Corruption in Latin America
Latin American countries have a long history of corruption, and the problem is as prevalent today as it ever was. Recent examples have shown that the rule of law and independent judiciaries can be a powerful bulwark against graft, but states in the region must do more.
The U.S. and China’s ‘free trade’ agendas
The United States and China are not true champions of free trade. Beijing pushes exports but effectively curbs imports through a maze of administrative obstacles. Washington traditionally concentrates on job protection and creation; its trade policies reflect these priorities.
GIS adds new content formats: ‘Dossier’ and ‘Opinion’
GIS is introducing two new content formats to our analysis portfolio. “Dossier” aims to give readers a thorough overview of the analysis we have provided on particular topics, regions or conflicts, while “Opinion” is an expanded viewpoint essay by our founder, Prince Michael of Liechtenstein and some of our other top experts. We will also begin offering more of our content for free.
Kim Watch: Army men
The impeachment of South Korea's president has Kim Jong-un looking longingly across the border. For now, the North Korean leader has busied himself with staging mock commando assaults on a replica of the presidential palace in Seoul. But he would clearly like to do much more.