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Cuba’s new president, Miguel Diaz-Canel, has two problems to fix. First, the country’s increasingly youthful population demands the goods and services they know are available elsewhere. Second, Cuba has lost most of the international support system that propped up its socialist welfare state. To resolve both, he must open up the economy – but by doing so, he will give the Communist Party and the intelligence services more leverage to use against him.
Dr. Joseph S. Tulchin
will get a new leader in April, after President Raul Castro hands over the presidency to
First Vice President Miguel Diaz-Canel. As the country tentatively introduces
decentralizing reforms and embraces globalization, the new leadership will have
to answer the question of how much freedom it can allow while retaining a tight
political and economic grip over the country.
In many parts of the world, the outlook for political stability in 2018 will depend on aging, often long-serving politicians. Some are senescent leaders trying to manage a generational transition, others have caught their second wind and are bracing for a long run. Here is a short list of rulers who are losing their grip, handling tricky successions, or building their legacies with a late burst of vigor. They are a key human element in geopolitics.
Latin American countries are beginning to develop a stronger sense of regional identity and with it a collective power. Several new regional organisations are emerging to portray this collective identity and to develop interests in trade and in common standards of governance, human rights and democracy.
LATIN American cou...
Doubts are being raised over whether President Hugo Chavez will be fit enough to fight elections in October. The president returned home this month after his third cancer operation in Cuba in just over a year. Now he faces an opposition united behind one candidate for the first time.
VENEZUELA’S President Hugo Chavez retu...