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Warsaw, March 12, 2016: A pro-European demonstration. Hungarians and Poles enjoy unrestricted freedom of speech and association; citizens may publicly demonstrate their opposition to the government (source: dpa)
Report
Scenarios

Central Europe is headed for turbulence, not Putinization
Ignacy Morawski
Ignacy Morawski

Recent political developments in Hungary and Poland have been interpreted as portending a reversal of westernization. If history is any guide, this perception is wrong. It is true that the region appears headed for institutional turbulence that could foster growing political and economic volatility. But a more serious upheaval is virtually precluded by the region’s...

Bujumbura, Aug. 25, 2015: Burundi's President Pierre Nkurunziza (C) at the swearing in of his new cabinet at the Congress Palace (source: dpa)
Report
Scenarios

Burundi’s president lights slow fuse to ethnic war

President Pierre Nkurunziza’s decision to seek a third term has plunged Burundi into chaos, reversing a decade of progress towards ethnic reconciliation and economic growth. While the present conflict is political in origin, triggered by the president’s ambitions, the climate of violence and repression it has fostered may revive ethnic ...

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Democracy in crisis

Democracy in crisis
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