- Donald Trump’s election in the U.S. brings a lot of uncertainty to Chinese policy
- Beijing may be tested on trade, Taiwan and the South China Sea
- However, it also has an opportunity to fill a vacuum left by the U.S. internationally
If 2016 was a year of decisions, then 2017 is a year of consequences. For China, most of these consequences come from decisions taken across the Pacific by the American people, who voted for a president committed to challenging Beijing. The election of Donald Trump brings China a great deal of change and uncertainty. This will exacerbate existing challenges for the Communist Party leadership, most notably China’s decreasing trade surplus, the “One-China” policy and tensions in the South China Sea, as well as internal tensions such as the succession of the Party leadership and unrest in the labor market.