Global trends: Ukraine fatigue may force bargain with Russia

Kiev, Jan. 23, 2016: Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko could face a tough choice between political survival and fulfilling the Minsk II agreement (source: dpa)
Kiev, Jan. 23, 2016: Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko could face a tough choice between political survival and fulfilling the Minsk II agreement (source: dpa)

Since Ukraine gained independence in 1991, its relations with Russia have never been normal. Major crises are always liable to break out. The present one has lasted for almost two years and is entering a new phase that can make or break Ukraine.

<i>This report is part of GIS’s “Global Trends” series, which aims to forecast big-picture scenarios that will shape the world this year and beyond.</i>

For the past five months, Ukraine has virtually disappeared from the international agenda. Both pro-Russian separatists and Ukrainian nationalists, worried by the prospect of Ukraine fatigue, have tried to draw attention to what they regard as unfinished bu...

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