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Political instability will be the norm for sub-Saharan Africa in 2017. Crises will range from rocky political transitions to mass protests, electoral violence and – in the worst case – even genocide. The region faces these challenges at a time when realpolitik is replacing liberalism.
Teresa Nogueira Pinto
Ethiopia’s economic performance is among the best in Africa although it has a lack of natural resources. It achieved political stability under long-serving prime minister Meles Zenawi. But his death in August 2012 cast doubts about the future until his successor received universal support to take the country forward.
Professor Jaime Nogueira Pinto
The death of Ethiopia’s strongman leader, Meles Zenawi, has not just left a potential power vacuum inside the country, it has also raised concerns about its stability in a region which is notoriously unstable. Zenawi may yet have a hand in what happens in Ethiopia, as it was he who put the mechanism for his succession into the country’s constitution.