Iran nuclear deal
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Near-term scenarios for the U.S.-Iran competition
Reports that the recent U.S. and Iranian attacks against each other are leading to war significantly exaggerate the situation. Each country’s moves are part of long-standing strategies focused on influencing the other’s behavior. As such, similar activities can be expected in the near future. A military conflict, however, would benefit neither side and both can be expected to try to avoid one.
Europe’s heedless foreign and security policies
European countries say they base their foreign policies on values – but doing so has led to inconsistency in how they treat international partners. Consequently, Europe has taken the wrong stance on military exports, the Iran nuclear deal and the U.S.-China trade dispute. Recent events, however, may have provided a ...
Scenarios for U.S.-Iran conflict
The 2018 withdrawal of the United States from the nuclear deal with Iran set the two countries on a collision course, and the rift has only been growing. Iran has employed covert proxy attacks, threats to close oil routes, and most recently, renewed uranium enrichment above acceptable levels. A full-on ...
The risky quest for a new nuclear deal with Iran
With the recent downing by Iran of a U.S. drone, tensions between the two countries may be entering a new phase. The Trump administration has imposed more sanctions and made new threats, in hopes of getting Iran back to the table for another nuclear deal. The U.S. does not want ...
Iran and the future of the nuclear deal
Since the U.S. withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal, the government of President Hassan Rouhani has come under tremendous pressure from both internal and external forces. Now, Mr. Rouhani will have to maneuver to satisfy the hardliners and keep social discontent in check, while maintaining Iran’s regional clout and keeping ...
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