Joe Biden
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New Opportunities 2021: Signs of stability in East Asia
Many expected the security situation in East Asia would be shaped by the special relationship between U.S. President Donald Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. However, with new leadership in both countries, an adaptation period will likely follow. Japanese expectations for the Biden administration will include security guarantees against Pyongyang as well as a de-escalation of the trade conflict with Beijing.
An uneasy truce in the Gulf
Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Bahrain and Egypt officially ended their diplomatic and economic boycott of Qatar. Riyadh’s attempt to get in the Biden administration’s good graces has led to a truce between strategic U.S. allies in the Gulf, but Qatar has made only vague promises to change policies that its ...
New Opportunities 2021: Latin America’s difficult outlook
Economic downturns, political mismanagement and natural disasters have sharply increased poverty rates and inequality. As discontent grows, populist politicians could make big gains. China will look to increase its influence in the region, challenging the Biden administration’s commitment to cooperation and multilateralism.
Why Hungary and Poland are sticking together
When Poland's and Hungary’s leaders jointly threatened to veto the EU’s Covid recovery fund last December, they argued it was in defense of their sovereignty. The nations’ historical traumas notwithstanding, both governments are rumbling down the path toward authoritarianism.
Renewed relations with Iran could come at a cost
In 2018, the Trump administration withdrew from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. Now it appears the United States is planning to enter a new nuclear deal with Iran. Doing so will require a careful risk assessment, especially for the sake of Middle Eastern countries that could fall prey to ...
