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Iran’s choices in the Caucasus
The conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh, recently halted by a Russia-backed cease-fire, exposed a new balance of foreign interests in the region. Iran has faced a difficult choice: whether to back a Shia Muslim Azerbaijan that is also receiving support from Israel and Turkey. The prospect of Israeli access to Iran’s northern border causes concern, as does agitation among the country’s sizable Azeri minority.
Europe at a crossroads: toward a global strategy
The European Union plans to adopt a “Global Strategy” for its foreign and security policies (EGS) at its June 22 summit. The document is the result of years of reflection on the increasing complexity of Europe’s external relations and interconnections. A fundamental problem for the EU is that neither its ...
New doctrine shows Russia willing and able to use force
On New Year’s Eve, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed off on an updated national security strategy. Its tone matches the deterioration in Russia’s relations with the West. Compared with the 2014 version, two features stand out. NATO is now presented as an adversary rather than a rival, and the instigation ...
Russia feels the political heat as regional and pension debt explodes
As the Russian economy moves further into recession, the Kremlin is looking ahead to next year’s parliamentary elections with mounting concern. It fears that growing economic hardship will cause people to turn against the government. Last month’s regional elections showed just how far the authorities are willing to go to ...
Russia’s corruption crackdown may be a Putin ploy
The Kremlin’s move against the high-level corruption that plagues Russia came as a surprise. Targets included ministries and big business, and there have been arrests and dismissals. Is this a genuine attempt to end the ‘culture of impunity’ or just a ploy by a politically weakened Vladimir Putin, which will ...
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