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A poster of Yoshihide Suga
Report
Scenarios

New Opportunities 2021: Signs of stability in East Asia
Urs Schoettli
Urs Schoettli

Many expected the security situation in East Asia would be shaped by the special relationship between U.S. President Donald Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. However, with new leadership in both countries, an adaptation period will likely follow. Japanese expectations for the Biden administration will include security guarantees against Pyongyang as well as a de-escalation of the trade conflict with Beijing.

Aibo the robot dog
Report
Scenarios

Japan’s innovation struggle

With a growing Chinese presence in Asia, it is crucial for Japan to maintain its position as one of the most technologically advanced countries in the world. To achieve this, the Japanese are likely to tap into their long tradition of rapid modernization. This time, the country will need to ...
Birth and death rate per 1,000 Japanese citizens
Report
Scenarios

Leadership Challenges 2020: Japan’s unique social contract

While Japan has known prosperity and stability under the leadership of longtime Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, it faces demographic challenges that will require difficult decisions. Social cohesion is of the highest importance for the Japanese and many see immigration as a threat, but the rapidly dwindling population will need to ...
 Urs Schoettli
Urs Schoettli
Manila, Nov. 18, 2015: Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe (C) and his peers from 11 other Pacific Rim countries meet to discuss the Trans-Pacific Partnership free trade agreement (source: dpa)
Report
Scenarios

Global trends: TPP holds key for developments in Asia-Pacific

East Asia’s geopolitical future over the next 18 to 24 months will hinge on whether the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade pact is implemented as planned. Last year 12 countries – including Japan and the United States, but excluding South Korea and China – concluded talks on the text of the ...
 Dr. Stefan Lippert
Dr. Stefan Lippert
Sendai, Japan, March 14, 2015: Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe (C) with Vanuatu President Baldwin Lonsdale (R) during the UN World Conference on Disaster Risk Reduction; the island nation of Vanuatu is threatened by climate change (source: dpa)
Report
Scenarios

Abe’s canny power plays will shake up Japanese electricity market

Change is coming to Japan’s electricity market along two seemingly contradictory tracks. On one hand, the recent restart of two nuclear reactors signals the government’s commitment to well-connected, entrenched interests. On the other, a push to liberalise the sector will break those interests’ long-held grip on the country’s generation and ...
 Dr. Stefan Lippert
Dr. Stefan Lippert
These Tokyo skyscrapers symbolise the growth Japan's Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is seeking (photo: dpa)
Report
Scenarios

Shinzo Abe’s ‘third arrow’ set to miss the target of radical reform

Shinzo Abe promised to ‘drill’ into Japan’s vested interests when he announced his growth strategy. But many of the reforms unveiled in June 2014 are vague announcements, far behind the expectations of those who believed that ‘Abenomics’ meant radical liberalisation, deregulation and decentralisation. It appears that the governing Liberal-Democratic Party ...
 Dr. Stefan Lippert
Dr. Stefan Lippert

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Game for Japan’s future
5 reports

Game for Japan’s future

Prime Minister of Japan, the longest-serving Japanese head of government since World War II, has labored hard to spurt the country’s economic growth and improve its security. Take advantage of our special offer to learn of the impact of his tenure and the much-vaunted “Abenomics” on Japan’s future.
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