Outlook improves for Latin American economies
The economic news coming out of Latin America is finally somewhat positive. Stagnation seems to be turning into growth. However, most of this is due to a recovery in commodity prices. Underlying structural problems, especially inequality, persist. Sustainable economic growth in the coming years will require smart domestic policy choices and lowering barriers to intra-regional trade.
Argentina’s Macri in the crosshairs
Argentina’s Mauricio Macri spent his first 16 months as president playing whack-a-mole with a host of problems – including a faltering economy, an incompetent and often corrupt bureaucracy, and rising public anger at utility price hikes. Now, with parliamentary elections looming, he needs to come up with a strategy to avoid becoming a lame duck for the rest of his term.
Global Outlook 2017: Latin America’s Trump problem
Geography will have a big impact on Latin America in the coming year: the closer a country is to the United States, the worse off it will be. What President Donald Trump does will shape developments in the region, as will the prices of key commodities. If Mr. Trump decides on collaboration instead of unilateral demands, however, the region could see positive developments.
Argentina’s Macri looks to build on initial gains
President Mauricio Macri’s administration enters the second half of its first year in Argentina having made important steps away from the populism of the Kirchner era. Its challenge now is to consolidate these gains despite a sluggish economy. Mr. Macri will need to continue making progress on economic reforms and win over opposition politicians who are distancing themselves from his predecessor.
Argentina’s new government makes an ambitious start
President Mauricio Macri of Argentina, who was elected last October, has quickly set out to show how much his administration differs from that of his predecessor, Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner. Much of the attention has focused on its determination to end the country’s complex set of price controls, subsidies and exchange rate restrictions. But his most significan...
Global trends: Latin America seeks growth as leaders straggle
Latin America has reached an inflection point. Recent developments suggest that parts of the region will make significant economic strides over the next few years. However, its two biggest economies – Brazil and Mexico – are stuck in the doldrums, and their politics may be in even worse shape. <i>This report is par...
Argentina weighs up energy price adjustment
Argentine President Mauricio Macri must cope with an energy sector in dire straits. Policy over the past decade has been inconsistent and often counterproductive. Subsidies weigh heavily on public finances. However, reforming the hydrocarbon extraction and refining industries should prove far easier politically than solving the country’s challenges in electricity p...
Dysfunctional politics stands in the way of Peru’s economy
More than 10 years of spectacular economic growth have come to an end in Peru with the conclusion of an era of extraordinarily high commodity prices. This sharp downturn coincides with general elections for the presidency and the legislature. Investors and Peruvians in general are assessing what has been achieved, weighing the challenges that the country is facing ...
Argentina’s new president will find it hard to make a fresh start
Let’s Change – Cambiemos – led by former Buenos Aires Mayor Mauricio Macri, won Argentina’s presidential run-off by less than 3 per cent of the popular vote. Headlines in Europe, the United States and Latin America heralded the opposition coalition’s victory as marking a reversal of the ‘pink tide’ – the swing to the left that has dominated South American politics ...
Special report on trade talks between Mercosur and the European Union
The July summit of South America’s six-nation Mercosur group brought no progress in negotiations on a trade agreement with the European Union. While stagnant economies on both sides of the Atlantic could benefit from a pact, Brazil and Argentina, which have pursued highly protectionist regimes, must first reconcile their differences. A new government in Argentina m...