Lebanon’s condition moves toward critical
Lebanon today is the world’s only country that has two armies and two governments in peacetime. Its shadow government wields more power than the official one, while its economy, politics, military, soil, water and even the air is toxic. Interference from its neighbors has negated any chance of pulling the country back together.
The specter haunting Europe
The populist wave spreading across Europe is rooted in deep-seated grievances – globalization, falling real incomes, unemployment, torn safety nets – that have been channeled into anger against migrants. Instead of engaging with these real problems, establishment politicians have preferred to insult voters. This is not a winning strategy.
Self-destruction by arrogance and hypocrisy
Turkey-bashing remains a favorite sport in the European Union, as shown by the two latest resolutions approved by the European Parliament on July 6. For short-term gain, politicians are needlessly alienating the EU's most important strategic partner to the south and east.
African migration and the EU’s response
Migration from Africa to Europe is here to stay. Though the EU has undertaken many measures to stem the tide, demographic and economic realities ensure that those measures will be insufficient. African economies cannot absorb their growing workforce, and in fact benefit from diasporas in Europe. Putting up fences will only make the problem worse.
Global Outlook 2017: The Middle East
The dangerous military situation in the Eastern Mediterranean opens a list of troubling scenarios in the Middle East. Just as grave is the possibility of turmoil in Egypt, which could launch a migrant wave of millions into Europe. Daesh's impending military defeat will pose challenges as the movement disperses and infiltrates Europe. Saudi-Iranian relations will remain tense, and the new U.S. administration's effort to revive an alliance with Sunni Gulf states could be derailed by its pledge to build an embassy in Jerusalem.
President Trump’s impact on Latin America
We do not know how much Donald Trump does not know about Latin America. If he keeps his campaign promises, the U.S. economy could suffer as much as Mexico’s or Brazil’s, and illegal immigration could get worse. A lot will depend on the new president’s learning curve.
VIDEO: Prince Michael of Liechtenstein on the EU’s migration crisis
Prince Michael of Liechtenstein, the founder and chairman of Geopolitical Intelligence Services, discusses the European Union’s migration crisis and the bloc’s agreement with Turkey to address it.
EU’s Schengen area under threat
The future of the Schengen area, one of the crowning achievements of European integration, is increasingly clouded as European Union member states are imposing temporary border restrictions to stave off perceived security threats from migrants and terrorists. The economic cost of dropping Schengen could be debilitating, but the path to a full return of the control-free zone is strewn with formidable obstacles.
Migrations of the third millennium, part 3: Failed states multiply as West shuns ‘duty to intervene’
Since the fall of the Soviet Union, the international scene has rarely been so troubled, in so many different areas, and for such a variety of reasons. From Afghanistan to Central Africa, it seems that half the world is covered by hot spots. Unless the international community decides to embrace its ‘duty to intervene,’ their number will only increase. ...
Migrations of the third millennium, part 2: Jihadist offensive spurs African flight
Tension between the Mediterranean Sea’s northern and southern shores is nothing new. In fact, it is ancient, dating back well before 1830, when France colonised Algeria in an effort to suppress the piracy, slave trade and smuggling that had infested those waters for centuries, and also to satisfy commercial interests. Big business ...