Siberia, a European issue
Tensions between East and West are mounting, but Europe could gain strategically and economically from assisting in the development of Siberia. Helping Russia shore up its eastern border with China this way would be also in the long-term interest of NATO and the United States.
Opinion: Aurora 17 marks a new dawn for Swedish defense and NATO
Russia’s recent Zapad-2017 military exercises made plenty of headlines, but at least as significant were the drills held by Sweden’s armed forces around the same time. Held in conjunction with NATO partners, the maneuvers had Sweden flexing its military muscle for the first time in decades. They could tilt the Baltic security map decisively in NATO’s favor.
The U.S. military’s skeptical response to hybrid warfare
Hybrid warfare has been a hot concept in the military and security community since the mid-2000s. But it has not made much of a dent on U.S. military doctrine, which is more concerned with urban warfare and its own theory of “multi-domain battle.” At the strategic level, American planners do not consider hybrid warfare as an operating principle – just one of a plethora of threats they must face.
Russia writes new rules for post-Cold War rivalry with NATO
Russia has been honing its conventional and nuclear forces for Hybrid Cold War confrontations with potential enemies, especially NATO. An important role in its new strategic toolbox is reserved for “safety valves”: Russia’s doctrine of first use of tactical nuclear weapons and the increased mobility of its conventional forces. At present, NATO has no effective countermeasures for either, dangerously adding to international instability.
Scenarios for the future of the EU-Turkey relationship
The relationship between Turkey and the European Union is on the rocks. Turkey cannot be considered eligible for membership, but the accession process remains officially ongoing. A collapse of the talks seems likely – but that would cause more problems than it would solve. Forging a new kind of partnership would have plenty of benefits, but would require ending accession negotiations. Sticking with the status quo gives both sides what they want, for now.