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Lithuania in the limelight
By urging NATO and the European Union to show their support for Belarus, Lithuania is risking Russia’s ire. Military intervention is unlikely but cannot be ruled out, given the Baltic state’s border with the strategic Russian exclave of Kaliningrad. However, the most likely course of action for the Putin administration is to leverage its influence in Lithuanian energy markets.
Departing U.S. troops leave tough questions behind
President Donald Trump has finally announced a long-discussed redeployment of some American forces in Europe, mainly from Germany to Italy and Belgium. Wielded as a “punishment" by the U.S. administration, the move is less consequential from an immediate military perspective than critics and the media would admit. But it does ...
The global consequences of relocating U.S. troops in Europe
The Trump administration has announced it will reduce the number of American troops in Europe. While the move has plenty of justification in terms of U.S. interests and policy, the unilateral manner in which it was made threatens NATO unity. Russia and China could even benefit from the fallout. If ...
Belarus in the crosshairs
Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko is facing unprecedented turmoil at home. Protracted demonstrations have led to a string of politically motivated arrests. However, trouble is also brewing on the foreign front. The Kremlin appears to be losing patience with the strongman’s trick of playing off Russia against the West and could ...
Armenia’s velvet revolution wears thin
Two years ago, a citizens’ movement led to the ouster of Armenia’s president sparking hopes for sturdier democratic institutions and even a turn toward the West. The new leadership, however, has thrown cold water on those aspirations, taking an ever-more authoritarian path and maintaining the country’s heavy dependence on Moscow.
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