negotiations
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U.S. and North Korea: Restart of talks, but to what end?

The Trump administration had demonstrated a willingness to return to the negotiating table with North Korea. Pyongyang, however, continues to test the American commitment to a deal that would require complete denuclearization. In October, a technical negotiation between the two sides ended without progress. The North Korean strategy may be to wait to see if President Trump is reelected or to pressure the U.S. side into accepting a deal on less demanding terms.

Brexit and trade
Brexit negotiations between the European Union and the United Kingdom were supposed to be concluded at the EU summit on October 17. But the deadline passed with no breakthrough, and no plans for a new meeting. With the clock to a “hard Brexit” ticking down, this could be the salutary ...


Theresa May’s guardedly optimistic Brexit scenario
Under London’s current proposal, the United Kingdom could quit the European Union at midnight on March 30, 2019 largely unscathed, leaving behind a smaller, but cooperatively disposed community on the continent and the outstanding, complex divorce issues for settling later on. But then, there is the “cliff edge” scenario with ...


GIS Dossier: Syria
Syria’s civil war has been decided in the military sense: the rebels have lost. What is up for grabs is the peace settlement. Here the Western powers may end up having surprisingly little say, unless Donald Trump decides otherwise.


Global trends: Ukraine fatigue may force bargain with Russia
Since Ukraine gained independence in 1991, its relations with Russia have never been normal. Major crises are always liable to break out. The present one has lasted for almost two years and is entering a new phase that can make or break Ukraine. <i>This report is part of GIS’s “Global ...

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