North America
The three countries that cover almost 90 percent of North America – the United States, Canada and Mexico – are economically very closely intertwined. The U.S. has the dominant position. It is the world’s largest economy and strongest military power. Shielded by oceans to the east and west, it projects influence globally. The continent is so rich in natural resources that it is practically self-sufficient.
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Post-Covid recovery is not the main challenge ahead
The statistics describing the condition of the world economy three months after the lockdowns seem reassuring: We have not had a V-shaped recovery but GDP growth in the second part of 2020 appears to be firming up and predictions for 2021 are optimistic. However, trouble is brewing in labor markets.
The geopolitical implications of the microchip race
The semiconductor industry has become a matter of crucial geopolitical importance for the United States and China. Both countries are acutely aware that the outcome of the technological race will give the winner a hefty advantage in the great power competition currently unfolding. For the time being, Washington is ahead, ...
A confident, robust democracy is not vulnerable to subversion
Moscow and Beijing may prefer one U.S. presidential candidate over the other, but it is unlikely that either power would be able to influence the outcome of the U.S. electoral process in a significant way.
Capping dividends and stopping buybacks: Governments want pessimism
Through its policies, the U.S. Federal Reserve is implying that the banking sector is in danger. By curbing dividends and prohibiting buybacks, it will force banks to accumulate large amounts of cash, insulating them against bank runs that may never come. In fact, the likeliest outcome is that U.S. banks ...
GIS Dossier: Global trade tensions worsen
Nobody is interested in setting off a trade war, but the trade liberalization process has ground to a halt. The U.S. is not the only guilty party: none of the biggest trading nations has abided by the principle of free trade. Also, many smaller countries are free riders on the system. ...
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