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An Iranian family poses for a selfie during 40th-anniversary celebrations in Tehran of the Islamic Revolution

Iran: Scenarios for deep reform or regime change

Starting last November, Iranians have been taking to the streets to voice their dissatisfaction with the country’s leadership. Over the past decade, several such movements have sprung up, only to ultimately be stamped out. Achieving regime change, or even significant reform, would entail depriving powerful, privileged groups of tremendous benefits. Any attempt to do so will meet stiff resistance.

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