Elections, coups, international relations, social movements, emerging states and influencers. Here find forecasts and potential scenarios for political trends from Geopolitical Intelligence Services (GIS) global experts.
Disruptions on Political issues
Russia’s incursion in Ukraine raised alarm about a new Cold War, deepened with the intervention in Syria and allegations of meddling in U.S. elections. But the Kremlin’s new assertiveness is largely defensive, while Ukraine’s emergence as a nation-state undermines Moscow’s ...
A trend toward increased government influence in economies and personal life is curbing growth, and freedom, in many Western countries. The outsized role of government results in misplaced incentives, overregulation – which restrains markets and competition – and irresponsible budgetary ...
Reports on Political issues See all →
GIS Essay: A reborn Dominican Republic?
The socioeconomic cost of Iran’s hegemony
Over the last decades, Iran has expanded its influence in the Middle East not only for the sake of boosting its geopolitical relevance but also as a way to protect itself against real and perceived foes. But the buffer states controlled by Tehran have greatly suffered from this state of ...
The economic legacy of Chancellor Angela Merkel
How good was Angela Merkel’s long leadership for Germany’s economy? How much added value have the enterprises of Europe’s powerhouse industry been able to generate under the chancellor’s policies? How has the labor force fared? Was her stewardship of the state finances responsible? The record shows successes and unaddressed structural challenges.
Cuba: The Biden administration reverts to Obama policy
While the Biden administration was reviewing U.S. policy toward Cuba, anti-regime protests erupted across the island. The response was to mildly criticize Cuban authorities while avoiding any decisive action. This suggests that the Biden team will gradually bring back the policies aiming to normalize relations with Cuba that were in ...
Latvia and the Russia factor
Latvia’s large Russian-speaking population has long led to political and social difficulties, as Moscow uses it to exert influence on the Baltic state. Recently, however, things have begun looking up. Riga has got a handle on financial crimes and corruption, and its politics may be turning a corner. But how ...