Kampala, Feb. 20, 2016: President Yoweri Museveni was declared the winner of the country’s fifth consecutive presidential race as the main candidate of the opposition (Kizza Besigye, pictured on the poster above) was under house arrest (source: dpa)

Politics and oil bring uncertainty to Uganda’s future

After three decades in power, President Yoweri Museveni of Uganda won a fifth consecutive term in February 2016. Uganda has seen significant development under his rule, but the irregularities that accompanied his election have added fuel to political tensions. Whether Ugandan politics follows a path of stability or instability may also depend on the fate of the country’s nascent oil industry, which offers hope for an economic boom. Low prices and infrastructure challenges, however, mean a rapid influx of petrodollars is far from assured.

President Museveni’s fifth term will not be an easy one. After an electoral process marked by intimidation and accusations of fraud, he will have to...

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Professor Jaime Nogueira Pinto
Competition for political power will intensify as oil production and commercialization ramp up
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