Politics and oil bring uncertainty to Uganda’s future

Kampala, Feb. 20, 2016: President Yoweri Museveni was declared the winner of the country’s fifth consecutive presidential race as the main candidate of the opposition (Kizza Besigye, pictured on the poster above) was under house arrest (source: dpa)

General info

Location

Uganda

Date

15 March 2016

Contains

Report Scenarios

Tags

consumption corruption expenditure exploration forces fund GDP grain industry infrastructure LNG middle class opposition petroleum pipeline security tax Uhuru Kenyatta unemployment Yoweri Museveni

Author

Professor Jaime Nogueira Pinto

HISTORIAN and political writer Professor Jaime Nogueira Pinto has published several books on Portuguese contemporary history, political science and military and African affairs.He has lectured on these and other subjects at the Portuguese universities of Lusíada in Lisbon, and Católica ...

After three decades in power, President Yoweri Museveni of Uganda won a fifth consecutive term in February 2016. Uganda has seen significant development under his rule, but the irregularities that accompanied his election have added fuel to political tensions. Whether Ugandan politics follows a path of stability or instability may also depend on the fate of the country’s nascent oil industry, which offers hope for an economic boom. Low prices and infrastructure challenges, however, mean a rapid influx of petrodollars is far from assured.

President Museveni’s fifth term will not be an easy one. After an electoral process marked by intimidation and accusations of fraud, he will have to...

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The campaign was marred by a crackdown on opponents, particularly against the main opposition party – the Forum for Democratic Change – and its leader, Mr. Besigye, who was detained four times in the space of a single week