recession
Reports on recession See all →
Germany: The exhausted man of Europe?
Formerly Europe’s growth engine, the German economy is now lagging behind other eurozone countries, and could potentially affect growth in the entire region. This poor performance is partly caused by the looming threats of U.S. tariffs and a disorderly Brexit. However, systemic problems, like a lack of technological innovation in the once outstanding automotive industry, are also contributing to the issue.
Global trends: TPP holds key for developments in Asia-Pacific
East Asia’s geopolitical future over the next 18 to 24 months will hinge on whether the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade pact is implemented as planned. Last year 12 countries – including Japan and the United States, but excluding South Korea and China – concluded talks on the text of the ...
Global trends: Europe’s weak spots ready to become new crises
Europe’s leaders have failed to solve the structural problems revealed by the crisis of 2008. Nor have they grappled with issues that have emerged in recent years. Examples include high public debt, the stock market bubble and distorted risk perceptions caused by the eurozone’s artificially low interest rates. For now, ...
Global trends: Ukraine fatigue may force bargain with Russia
Since Ukraine gained independence in 1991, its relations with Russia have never been normal. Major crises are always liable to break out. The present one has lasted for almost two years and is entering a new phase that can make or break Ukraine. <i>This report is part of GIS’s “Global ...
Global trends: 2016 and 2017 will set Putin’s future
The outlook for Russia this year is more complex and harder to predict than at any point since President Vladimir Putin took power 16 years ago. Mr. Putin has ruthlessly ratcheted up the stakes in his drive to ensure that Russia is once again recognized as a great power with ...
