Redefining America
After a 20-year run as the world’s hegemonic power, the United States is retrenching. The Trump administration accelerated this process, answering China’s disruptive rise with an economic and military challenge, and using similar confrontational tactics with Iran. Domestically, the U.S. is doubling down on its faith in small government. American bilateralism’s key risk is estranging long-time partners needed to sustain its preeminence.
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Biden and the Abraham Accords: Attempt to disengage
The united front against Iran, led by the Gulf states and Israel with a strong push from former President Donald Trump, is crumbling. His successor Joe Biden prefers to restore the nuclear deal with Iran over advancing the promising realignment process spurred in the region by the Abraham Accords. The new U.S. policy is off to a rocky start.
Scenarios for the U.S. Congress’s stance on China
Both Democrats and Republicans in the U.S. Congress are critical of China, which has shown in the legislation passed over the past several years. Now, with both houses in Democratic hands and President Biden in the White House, it is worth examining whether the U.S. legislature will continue down this ...
Continuity and change in post-Trump America
Those who expect a dramatic change in U.S. policy now that President Biden has taken office may be in for a surprise. While the tone may be milder than under President Trump, the new administration has not taken radically different positions than its predecessor on most foreign policy matters. Its ...
America’s choice: Healing and competing, or punishing
The vengefulness behind the latest attempt at impeaching the former president stands at odds with President Joe Biden’s pledge to heal and reunify the country, and to focus on its many serious challenges. This exercise also can be seen as a sign of the Democrats’ weakness: it betrays a fear ...
New Opportunities 2021: A post-Covid rebound in the U.S. is all but inevitable
The United States is a resilient nation positioned to make a quick post-pandemic recovery. A broad assessment of the elements of U.S. power and the state of American society finds few challenges related to the Covid-19 that could undermine the country’s stability or sap its capacity to project its global ...
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More Disruptions
Expanding state
A trend toward increased government influence in economies and personal life is curbing growth, and freedom, in many Western countries. The outsized role of government results in misplaced incentives, overregulation – which restrains markets and competition – and irresponsible budgetary ...
Middle East politics
The region, one of the cradles of civilization, is going through a turbulent period of historic realignment. Its powers are vying for political, military, economic and religious dominance with local players and outside actors. Armed conflicts, mainly civil wars, are ...
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