Reports

Africa’s presidents for life
Leaders staying in power indefinitely is threatening the development of democracy on the African continent. In 2020, several West African heads of states overstayed their constitutional time in office, leading to widespread anger. Given the worsening economic situation of most authoritarian states, protests and ethnic tensions could soon flare up.


Scenarios for law enforcement in Africa
African communities in postindependence states often have painful memories of police repression dating back to the colonial era, and the recent lockdowns have reopened old wounds. During the pandemic, political activity ground to a halt. But with several elections to be held in the near future, violent incidents involving law ...


Scenarios for African migration to Europe
European Union member states will have to negotiate a new pact on migration and asylum amid economic and political insecurity. The latest EU strategy revolves around reinforced border security cooperation with African countries to contain a potential post-Covid increase in asylum requests.


The costs of Brexit for Africa
Now that the United Kingdom is no longer part of the European Union, it will have free rein to set its own terms when dealing with African countries. So far, the British government seems to be determined to foster close ties with the continent through foreign direct investment and private ...


The EU’s new, more practical strategy for Africa
The EU’s new strategy for Africa focuses on areas that are of crucial importance in the eyes of African governments: green transition and energy access, digital transformation, sustainable growth and jobs, peace and governance, and migration and mobility. However, a lack of political cohesion on the European side could prevent ...


High hopes for the African Continental Free Trade Area
The launch of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) has come with high hopes for a boost in economic activity and development. But free trade agreements in themselves are no silver bullet for backward economies. Especially in Africa, institutional reform, infrastructure improvement and the reduction of nontariff barriers will ...


Opinion: Jihadists open a new front in West Africa
Since the mid-2010s, countries in the Gulf of Guinea have seen an increase in terrorist attacks. Lax border control allows jihadist violence to spread rapidly through preexisting criminal networks. National authorities are taking measures to counter the threat, but the issue will need to be addressed from a regional perspective ...


Corruption in Africa: trends and scenarios
Sub-Saharan Africa is, according to some measures, the world's most corrupt region. But the picture is decidedly mixed. Some countries have made great strides in fighting graft, while others will remain mired in corrupt systems for years to come. Democratic institutions are an important factor, but so is economic freedom. ...


African migration: From polarization to win-win
With this year’s European Parliament elections, the EU may be approaching a watershed moment on migration. Voters and politicians are questioning the fundamental assumptions of globalized approaches like the UN Compact on Migration and the EU Trust Fund for Africa, which may do more to encourage than curb the migrant ...


Reforming the African Union
Bucking the world trend, Africa in 2018 was marked by important advances toward free movement, free trade and closer cooperation between states. The main advances were on the economic front, with the agreement to create a Continental Free Trade Area (CFTA). While trade liberalization has the potential to be transformative ...


Opinion: African democracy’s long and winding road
Since the collapse of communism, Western powers have kept urging African countries to establish democracies by holding elections. Yet democracy is a complex institution that does not adapt well to multiethnic, impoverished societies – especially when it is imposed from outside. Too often the trappings of centralized democracy have been ...


Opinion: Africa and foreign influence
Europe has a mixed history when it comes to its involvement in Africa. In recent years, it has mostly abandoned its interests there, leaving a vacuum that is being filled by China, Russia and Turkey. European policy toward Africa currently is shortsighted, mainly aiming to address the migration crisis. But ...


African countries move toward fiscal consolidation
Stung by falling commodities prices and growing donor fatigue, many African countries are expanding their tax bases. While at first blush this looks like a good move to liberate their economies from aid and resource dependence, it could also be a recipe for reducing investment and tamping down economic growth.


Kenya’s protracted political crisis darkens its economic outlook
The national elections in Kenya have thrown the fast-developing east African nation into dangerous instability for the second time in a decade. Its ethnic-based political process is the root problem, the country’s economic outlook is cloudy.


Will education let Africa reap its demographic dividend?
With nearly 40 percent of its population under the age of 18, Africa is the youngest continent in the world. This expanding work-age population should bring higher productivity, increased consumption and faster growth. But turning this workforce into an economic asset will require ending the mismatch between educational outcomes and ...


Africa’s poaching wars
Poaching in Africa has intensified in recent years, leaving less than half a million elephants on the continent. The flip side of this ecological tragedy is a multibillion-dollar business for criminal and terrorist groups. That makes poaching a geopolitical problem requiring an international response.


Undeveloped African economies dollar trap offers opportunities for Europe
The US Federal Reserve's remarks in March 2015 on potential interest rate rises took money markets by surprise. Nothing will happen in the short term. But the strong dollar could spell danger for undeveloped economies and Europe may be called on to help. This could offer an opportunity to build ...


International Criminal Court: fragile peace but no justice in Kenya
The International Criminal Court suffered a major setback when its first case against a sitting head of state collapsed. Kenya’s President Uhuru Kenyatta was indicted for crimes against humanity but critical evidence and witnesses failed to materialise - government complicity, say prosecutors - and the charges were withdrawn in December ...


Kenya remains confident despite growing security threat
Kenya’s economic outlook is among the brightest in Africa. Foreign investment in President Uhuru Kenyatta’s nation is booming and business confidence is high since the discovery of oil and gas reserves. However, the terrorist group al-Shabab, responsible for the deadly attack on the Westgate shopping mall in Nairobi in 2013, ...


Kenya counts the cost of a failed state on its doorstep
The Somali-led Islamic militants who attacked a Kenyan shopping centre in September 2013 said they would continue to strike more targets in the country unless Kenya removed its troops from their land. Kenya invaded Somalia in 2011 because of repeated cross-border raids by the militant group, al-Shabab. But it is ...


International powers put democracy under pressure
International courts, organisations such as the European Commission and central banks are now so powerful that there is a danger that they can overrule democratic decisions, especially in weaker countries. The major powers are not affected, but at both legal and economic levels, poor national government policies are leading smaller ...


Kenyatta wins Kenya's presidency but his battles are far from over
Uhuru Kenyatta’s has reasons to celebrate, not just for his victory in Kenya’s presidential elections, but for a ruling by the country’s Supreme Court that the election was ‘free and fair’. Now he faces some equally big challenges, most immediately the indictment by the International Criminal Court for crimes against ...


Threat of violence hangs over Kenya elections
Kenya is about to elect a new president. But there are fears that the country could descend into the same post-election violence that marred the 2007 elections after the results were heavily disputed. There could be a further worry for the country, however. One of the two leading candidate, Uhuru ...


Geopolitics: Kenya intervenes to end threat to tourists and aid workers
Somalia may be the Afghanistan of Africa, a failed state with a bloody history. Its neighbour Kenya has now intervened with troops following the abduction of foreign aid workers and tourists. Kenya faces a security threat and violence which is having an impact on its tourist trade. KENYA has kept ...
