Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan waves to supporters, with Turkish and EU flags in the background

Scenarios for the future of the EU-Turkey relationship

  • Turkey and the EU are increasingly at odds
  • Ending accession negotiations would hinder partnership in crucial areas
  • Both sides can meet their goals by pragmatically maintaining the status quo

The European Union is dithering over its Turkey policy. This comes after the country held a referendum in 2017 that endorsed a presidential system, eliminating most checks and balances from the constitution. The Turkish opposition had already suffered a wave of repression following a series of terrorist attacks and the failed July 2016 coup. The European Parliament has called for abandoning Turkey’s EU membership talks if the constitution is changed to formalize one-man rule. The responsible European Commissioner proposes a review of the EU’s Turkey policy.

The union’s membership criteria include democracy, the rule of law and the protection of human rights. Today, Turkey cannot be considered eligible for EU membership. The 2017 World Press Freedom Index ranked the country 155th, just ahead of Iran and China. New arrests occur daily. Self-censorship has become the only means of professional survival for writers, academics and journalists. Nevertheless, most member states still prefer maintaining Turkey’s accession process.

Unlock the report
8.95 EUR
 
Secure, instant payment by credit card
Dr. Michael Leigh
The accession process will remain suspended de facto as long as Turkey falls short on the political conditions
read more about it in the report
What's inside
  • Turkey and the EU are increasingly at odds
  • Ending accession negotiations would hinder partnership in crucial areas
  • Both sides can meet their goals by pragmatically maintaining the status quo
Who will benefit?
  • Report is targeted to the decision makers in cross country manufacturing – suppliers, manufacturers, logistics.
  • Also considered useful for the administrative university facilities, to better understand the possibe effects of current decisions.
By clicking "I Agree" below, you acknowledge that you accept our Privacy Policy and Terms and conditions. Feel free to check out our policies anytime for more information.
I agree