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With NATO having turned 70 this year, it is worth considering how the alliance became the guarantor of European security and what direction it should now take. In this first of a two-part series, GIS Expert Dr. Uwe Nerlich recounts how the alliance’s role transformed from a means of stabilizing postwar Europe into an instrument of “mutual deterrence.”
Dr. Uwe Nerlich
policies centered on more broadly defined money supply replace central bankers’
traditional preoccupation with interest and inflation rates? Is there a way to
tame overregulation in the financial sector while making it more stable, more
durable and more squarely based on entrepreneurial responsibility? Such changes
may be possible – if a regulatory paradigm shift takes place.
Dr. Emmanuel Martin
corruption has spurred political change in Latin America, it remains the basic
currency of power in many other parts of the world. This is particularly
evident in post-communist regimes like Russia, where private fortunes can be
amassed and confiscated at the whim of a tiny elite. This appropriation of
resources helps shore up the regime, even as it undermines Russia’s long-term
future as a great power.
Russia & Central Asia
As the U.S.-China trade dispute drags on, Washington is gearing up to turn the screws on another trade partner: India. Though the countries are allies, U.S. officials chafe at India’s protectionist policies. Sorting out this imbroglio will be among the Indian government’s top priorities – an escalatory tariff war could cripple the broader relationship.
South & Southeast Asia
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri
Since 1982, the Shia Hezbollah movement has turned the Lebanese-Israeli border into one of the most volatile in the region. With help from Iran, it has also consolidated political power in Lebanon and expanded its involvement in the Syrian civil war. After its stunning success in last year’s elections, Hezbollah would bear responsibility for another possible confrontation with Israel, for which Lebanon would pay a steep price.
Maghreb & the Middle East
Ambassador Zvi Mazel
Panama has become a big focus for China – the two countries signed 19 cooperation agreements at the end of last year. For Panama, the partnership is an attempt to revive its economy. For China, it is a chance to gain influence over the crucial Panama Canal. The question is how Panama’s new government will balance its appetite for Chinese investment with its need to maintain close ties with the United States.
Central & South America
Dr. Joseph S. Tulchin
Prospects for a U.S.-China trade deal
now seem to be hanging by a thread. Even before the most recent disagreement,
however, the Trump administration had already begun drawing attention to a new
question: whether China had been engaging in protectionism by manipulating its
currency. But the administration’s argument reveals confused ideas about what
exactly it wants: a dominant role for the dollar as an international reserve
currency or an appreciated renminbi to please American producers.
China & Northeast Asia
Professor Enrico Colombatto
A $2 billion corruption scandal continues to upend the political and economic landscape in Mozambique. Manuel Chang, the former finance minister, has been arrested by U.S. authorities along with several co-conspirators. His legal fate, which now hangs in the balance in South Africa, will have major repercussions in his home country. Extradition to the U.S. could implicate other Mozambican officials and help turn back on the flow of international aid and investment.
Eastern & Southern Africa
Anonymous GIS Expert
Since President Donald Trump reestablished the U.S. military’s Space Command, plenty of ink has been spilled on the potential for space-based weapons. While satellites are playing a larger role, the battle for dominance in space will remain earthbound for the long term. The question is whether the U.S., China and Russia can sustain the advanced research necessary to gain an edge over each other.
Professor Stefan Hedlund
If information is the raw material that will fuel 21st-century business, then it must have some value. Yet people give away their personal data to companies for free. And though governments have created complicated regulations to protect users, they themselves forcibly extract an increasingly large amount of information from their citizens. A market solution could be the answer: treat personal information like property, and put a price on it.
Prince Michael of Liechtenstein