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Ankara is still groping for the right policy mix
in dealing with complex challenges to Turkey’s vital interests in the Middle
East, North Africa, the Mediterranean and the Black Sea region. A paradigm
change, however, diverting its geopolitical attention away from Europe and NATO
and toward its historic neighborhood, is already evident.
Europe can no longer take
Turkey for granted or ignore its vital interests. Many in the West are
rightfully displeased with the weakening of important institutions that the country has seen under the leadership of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, but realpolitik dictates cooperation in mutual
interest. Europe and Turkey are in urgent need of each other in an increasingly
By tradition, wars have been fought between states, and armed clashes were preceded by official declarations of war. But those days are long gone.
Vladimir Putin is at the
heart of Russia’s political system. But less and less of what is happening in
the country depends on his personal vision and volition. The president looks
increasingly disengaged, while his policy of confrontation with the West is a
dead end. As the first outlines of a post-Putin order come into focus, it scarcely
matters whether the president runs for another term. Even if he wins, the new
era begins the day after the vote.
Dr. Svyatoslav Kaspe
Professor Stefan Hedlund
General Stanislaw Koziej