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Southeast Asia And Australia

Southeast Asia And Australia

The region stretches from the Indochinese Peninsula through the Indonesian archipelago all the way to Australia, forming the dividing line between the Pacific and the Indian Oceans. This area is very diverse – geographically, culturally and historically. What the region’s countries have in common is their largest trading partner: China. Beijing’s assertive policymaking is the most important strategic issue in the region.

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Disruptions

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QUAD and Five Eyes
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Scenarios

Australia’s historic realignment
Urs Schoettli
Urs Schoettli

For most of the 20th century, Japan and Australia had little reason to develop a relationship. However, China’s rise as a regional hegemon has the potential to bring the two countries closer. Ties have been established via the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, in which both countries take part. Closer cooperation could also come about through Japan’s involvement with the Five Eyes intelligence alliance.

Map showing the route of a proposed undersea cable that will deliver green energy from Australia to Singapore
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Scenarios

Australia’s green energy potential could boost its geopolitical significance

Fossil fuels are a significant part of the Australian economy, but the country is now taking big strides toward renewable solutions. It also has the capacity to become a crucial exporter of green energy and the materials needed to produce it. Its growing spat with China is a double-edged sword ...
Malaysian monarch Sultan Abdullah
Report
Analysis

Opinion: Malaysia’s king becomes kingmaker

On September 23, 2020, Malaysian opposition leader Anwar Ibrahim unexpectedly announced he had amassed a “strong, formidable and convincing majority” to replace the current prime minister, Muhyiddin Yassin. Maneuvering under the cover of the worsening pandemic, the prime minister then attempted to declare emergency rule. However, his request was rejected ...
 Yang Razali Kassim
Yang Razali Kassim
A woman working in a rice field, Can Tho, Vietnam
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Scenarios

Vietnam’s place in the U.S.-China great power competition

As the rivalry between the U.S. and China heats up, Vietnam’s most important goal – to maintain autonomy – is becoming trickier. So far, close party ties have helped keep relations with Beijing cordial, despite fervent anti-China feeling among regular Vietnamese. If its northern neighbor increases the pressure however, especially ...
 Walter Lohman
Walter Lohman
The leader of the Philippines and the head of U.S. diplomacy exchange a handshake
Report
Scenarios

The Philippines’ policy and the great power competition

The Philippines’ foreign policy drivers go beyond the theatrics of its current president. Some of them are fundamental interests that hardly change in time, as has been the case of the simultaneous economic cooperation and territorial conflict with China. The U.S., too, exerts a strong pull on Manila. There are, ...
 Walter Lohman
Walter Lohman
Mahathir Mohamad at a press conference
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Scenarios

Intrigue and betrayal: Malaysia’s power struggle

According to a power-sharing agreement drawn up ahead of the 2018 elections, Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad was to resign mid-term, letting his former foe-turned-ally Anwar Ibrahim take over the position. Before that could happen, an unexpected coup led to the collapse of the ruling coalition and the crowning of ...
 Yang Razali Kassim
Yang Razali Kassim

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Malaysia inches closer to China

Malaysia inches closer to China
LNG projects in Australia

LNG projects in Australia

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Southeast Asia and China
4 reports

Southeast Asia and China

Southeast Asia has emerged as the Asian epicenter of the United States-China great power competition. At the same time, several other outside players are also competing there, including Japan, India and Europe. Gain insight on our experts’ scenarios for the region with this special offer.
Regular price: 35.80, you save 16.11 in bundle
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19.69 EUR
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