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Subsaharan Africa

Subsaharan Africa

This area stretches from the Cape Verde islands on the Atlantic to the Horn of Africa on the Indian Ocean, and north to south from the Upper Nile and the Sahara Desert to the Cape of Good Hope, where the Atlantic and Indian oceans meet. The continent’s main assets are abundant natural resources and a young population.

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Disruptions

Reports on Subsaharan Africa See all →

Man at an oil production plant
Report
Scenarios

Nigeria’s oil policy at a crossroads
Dr. Carole Nakhle
Dr. Carole Nakhle

Even before the pandemic, the Nigerian economy faced structural issues. Highly dependent on oil exports for revenue, the country could spiral into a deep recession because of the recent collapse in oil prices. High production costs will also hamper recovery even when global demand returns. If constantly pushed for full compliance by OPEC, Nigeria could seek to end its membership in the hope that fewer constraints would boost its hydrocarbon sector.

A map of Malawi and Southern Africa
Report
Scenarios

Scenarios for Southern Africa after Malawi’s election ‘miracle’

In 2019, Malawian President Peter Mutharika won a second term with a narrow margin. But the opposition coalition, alleging irregularities, brought the matter to court and obtained an annulment of the results. A second election in June 2020 saw the opposition leader peacefully elected – an anomaly in a region ...
A map of Mozambique and areas of interest
Report
Scenarios

Mozambique: From hope to escalating risks

Mozambique is facing one of its most difficult moments since its independence in 1975. A wave of Daesh-linked terrorism in the country’s north, ongoing since 2017, has worsened, with hundreds of thousands displaced. The country’s security forces have been ineffective, leaving foreign entities from Russia and elsewhere to step in and ...
 Anonymous GIS Expert
Anonymous GIS Expert
Map of Southern Africa with Botswana highlighted
Report
Scenarios

Botswana-South Africa row tests regional balance of power

Relations between Botswana and South Africa have become tense after the former hired a right-wing advocacy group to sue in the latter’s courts over millions of dollars allegedly laundered and intended to finance a coup. The move emphasizes the South African government’s tenuous grip on power and the deteriorating rule ...
 Dr. Ralph Mathekga
Dr. Ralph Mathekga
Livestock market in Mogadishu, Somalia
Report
Scenarios

Somalia: A fragile state in a troubled region

Given the difficulties Somalia’s federal government faces, the upcoming parliamentary and presidential elections are unlikely to stabilize the country. The terrorist organization al-Shabaab is still expanding, while local governments clash with federal security forces. Though some progress has been made, the basic building blocks of statehood are still absent, making ...
 Teresa Nogueira Pinto
Teresa Nogueira Pinto
A map that shows the locations of Ethiopia’s political tensions
Report
Scenarios

Relevance beyond the crisis: Ethiopia under strain again

Ethiopia’s Nobel Peace Prize-winner prime minister has made headway implementing his ambitious political reform and development agenda. However, the global pandemic put the changes on hold and the country’s political and economic outlook has darkened considerably.
 Teresa Nogueira Pinto
Teresa Nogueira Pinto

Videos on Subsaharan AfricaSee all →

Corruption in Africa: two possible scenarios
Corruption in Africa: two possible scenarios | GIS: Global Trends Video Reports
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Improving West Africa healthcare is key to containing Ebola play

Improving West Africa healthcare is key to containing Ebola
How West Africa is counting the cost of the Ebola outbreak play

How West Africa is counting the cost of the Ebola outbreak

Infographics on Subsaharan AfricaSee all →

Angola

Angola
Phosphate in Togo

Phosphate in Togo
Scenarios for Togo

Scenarios for Togo
Togo

Togo

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Energy outlook
4 reports

Energy outlook

Despite the clamor for renewable energy, oil- and natural gas-exporting countries are ramping up their production capabilities to meet the world’s energy needs in the coming years and decades. Gain insight into the most important developments in the hydrocarbons industry with this special offer.
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