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Iranian cleric walks in front of anti-American wall mural in Tehran

The contours of a future Middle East emerge

Iran is the wedge driving the U.S. and Russia apart in the Middle East and Tehran’s ambitions could lead to a collision with American and Israeli forces in Syria (source: dpa)

General info

Location
Iran
Date
16 October 2017
Contains
Report Scenarios
Category
Political issues
Tags
arms trade Ayatollah Ali Khamenei Bashar al-Assad Daesh diplomacy Donald Trump ethnic division Hassan Rouhani Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action Kurdish Regional Government Kurdistan Kurds Massoud Barzani Mohammed bin Salman nuclear weapons Recep Tayyip Erdogan Shia Syria civil war territorial disputes terrorism Vladimir Putin

Author

Dr. Samir Nassif

Dr. Samir Nassif

Dr. Samir Nassif is Professor of Management and teaches leadership at the Executive and Master level. He has a special passion for geopolitics, and has taught courses on the 'Middle East crisis' over the last 25 years. Dr. Nassif is ...
  • Tension with Iran has helped derail an apparent U.S.-Russian peace deal in Syria
  • The escalating “war of words” between Iran and Saudi Arabia could trigger real fighting
  • Kurdistan’s independence referendum is bringing together Iran, Iraq and Turkey
  • The Kurds’ fate could set a template for many other minorities in the region

The United States and Russia appear to have reached a tacit agreement on a solution for Syria. In practical terms, it amounts to a carte blanche for Russian President Vladimir Putin courtesy of the new U.S. president, Donald Trump. On the ground, Russian and Iranian troops can be observed maneuvering close to the sensitive Golan Heights region. In discreet talks with the Russians in Amman, Jordan, Israeli negotiators requested the establishment of safe areas and the withdrawal of all Iranian forces from Syria. Having such an exclusion zone around the Golan Heights would give the Israeli military freedom to intervene quickly if needed without fear of encountering Russian forces. It would also give the Syrian opposition a sanctuary from which to continue fighting President Bashar al-Assad’s regime and the Iranians.

Contents

  • Syria understanding
  • Trump vs. Putin
  • Iranian wedge
  • Saudi tensions
  • Daesh debris
  • New state
  • Minority hopes
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Dr. Samir Nassif
Animosity will not cease in the Middle East until each minority receives what it perceives as its due
read more about it in the report
What's inside
  • Tension with Iran has helped derail an apparent U.S.-Russian peace deal in Syria
  • The escalating “war of words” between Iran and Saudi Arabia could trigger real fighting
  • Kurdistan’s independence referendum is bringing together Iran, Iraq and Turkey
  • The Kurds’ fate could set a template for many other minorities in the region
Who will benefit?
  • Report is targeted to the decision makers in cross country manufacturing – suppliers, manufacturers, logistics.
  • Also considered useful for the administrative university facilities, to better understand the possible effects of current decisions.

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