- Taiwan is very economically dependent on China
- A growing number of Taiwanese see their country as separate from China
- These two trends will determine the cross-strait relationship going forward
- For now, any sudden moves by either side is unlikely
are two competing narratives about where Taiwan is headed in its
relationship with China. One rests on economic and cultural
determinism and points toward eventual unification. The other is
derived from a stubborn resistance to those same factors and suggests
indefinite political separation. How these competing forces play out
in Taiwan’s politics and how the Chinese respond will dictate the
shape the relationship takes.
Taiwan is heavily dependent on China, where 40 percent of its exports
go. Though there has been a decline since a peak in 2010, Taiwan
still pumps more than 40 percent of its international investment into
the Middle Kingdom.