U.S. security policy toward Europe: The next phase
One of the most frequently asked questions about President Donald Trump’s foreign policy is what it plans to do about Europe. The answer to that is now clearer, though not necessarily the disaster for transatlantic relations that the G7 summit in Quebec appeared to be. What Washington has in mind is unsettling enough – regional stability and security, yes, but through bilateral engagement, and with much more combative economic policies.
China refreshens old promises to open up its domestic market
Chinese President Xi Jinping’s April pledge to allow more foreign competition in the country’s manufacturing and financial services sectors, and to respect Western companies’ intellectual property rights, momentarily eased the tension between Washington and Beijing. However, even if China implements these concessions, they will not suffice to eliminate the huge, deepening deficit in U.S. trade with the Asian country.
Cuba in transition
Cuba will get a new leader in April, after President Raul Castro hands over the presidency to First Vice President Miguel Diaz-Canel. As the country tentatively introduces decentralizing reforms and embraces globalization, the new leadership will have to answer the question of how much freedom it can allow while retaining a tight political and economic grip over the country.
GIS Dossier: China’s Africa strategy
Beijing’s 1996 Going Out strategy called for trade and investment in developing countries to secure energy and raw materials for its accelerating economy. Two decades later, China’s relationship with Africa is evolving into a mature, balanced system of economic and political interests.
Jokowi’s prospects and Indonesia’s future
Indonesian President Joko Widodo – better known as Jokowi – has run up against tough political resistance. He is learning the hard way that the country’s cumbersome bureaucracy does not react as quickly as the businesses he has run. But despite some mistakes, he still retains public support due to his focus on economic development and infrastructure. If he can see his ambitious initiatives through and make Indonesia a “Global Maritime Fulcrum,” the country would play a pivotal geopolitical role.
In Chile, stagnation and stasis despite shifting politics
The old party coalitions are breaking down in Chile, while new rules could shake up congressional representation. With the economy stuck in low gear, voters are frustrated. But despite all this, the country looks likely to elect a familiar face in November – former President Sebastian Pinera. If he wins, it will mark unprecedented stasis in Chilean politics since the end of the Pinochet dictatorship.
Taiwan’s fate tied to Tsai’s New Southbound Policy
Now that Taiwan has elected a president from a party that has no desire for Chinese unification, Beijing is stepping up pressure on the island, keeping it out of international organizations and stealing away allies. President Tsai Ing-wen’s New Southbound Policy aims to counter those moves by strengthening economic ties and the country’s soft-power tools. Its failure could erode the pillars upon which Taiwan’s independence is built.