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that Taiwan has elected a president from a party that has no desire for Chinese
unification, Beijing is stepping up pressure on the island, keeping it out of
international organizations and stealing away allies. President Tsai Ing-wen’s
New Southbound Policy aims to counter those moves by strengthening economic
ties and the country’s soft-power tools. Its failure could erode the pillars
upon which Taiwan’s independence is built.
election of Donald Trump in the United States brings with it a great deal of
uncertainty for China and its leaders. It could face the threat of a trade war,
and diplomatic challenges regarding Taiwan and the South China Sea. However, as
Washington takes a more isolationist stance, 2017 will also offer China the
opportunity to fill the vacuum.