GIS Dossier: Europe’s migration impasse
The steady flow of migrants from the Middle East and Africa suddenly exploded in 2015 into the greatest crisis of its kind in Europe since World War II. How this happened and what the EU and national governments ought to do about it is examined in this survey of work by GIS experts.
Opinion: ‘Values’-driven policies, Europe’s road to isolation
Much of the instability and risk in the global environment can be traced to Western nations’ tendency to judge their rivals, but also allies and partners, through the prism of so-called Western values. The United States is powerful, self-sustained and geographically isolated enough to get away with it for a while, but European nations face grave danger if they continue to try to substitute pragmatic give-and-take policies with arrogance and moralistic lectures.
Early returns suggest that Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has prevailed in the referendum on giving him sweeping new powers, even if this mandate may not be a strong one at this point. The European Union should tread carefully: rather than try to marginalize the leader of Turkey, it should find ways to cooperate with a critically needed ally for Europe and NATO.
New kingmakers: Putin or Erdogan?
Evidence that Russia tried to manipulate the outcome of the United States presidential elections is flimsy. It is increasingly clear, though, that EU leaders themselves are manipulating their electorates with gross anti-Turkey populism as they try to cling to power.
Turkey’s failed coup marks the end of Kemalism
Turkey has been undergoing profound social and political change. During the rule of president Recep Tayyip Erdogan's Justice and Development Party (AKP), the country has moved quite a distance away from a secular liberal democracy toward an Islamist model, with key powers vested in the presidency. The fact that a coup attempted by a part of Turkey's military in defense of democratic values received scant support shows how deep this political change as been.
Russia sows discord in search for economic allies
With Russia’s economy heading for recession and isolation from markets in the West, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin is cultivating alternative friendships in and around Europe. Although the rewards may be meagre, what is likely to be achieved is mischief. The European powers’ efforts to maintain a common EU policy on Russia is already shaky with several governmen...
Iran gas an option for Europe as Russia leaves energy gap
The strategic energy ellipse is one of the hottest geopolitical regions in the world - home to vast reserves of oil and gas and stretching from western Siberia to the Arabian Peninsula. Critically, Iran and Iraq are at its centre. As Russia eases out of the picture as the main provider of energy to Europe – several others are looking to take its place. The axing of...
How ISIS is shifting relationships in the Middle East
Iraq has a new government headed by Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi with key posts promised to Sunni and Kurdish politicians as part of a power-sharing deal to tackle the growing rise of Islamic State (IS). The real and present danger of IS reaches far and wide and is leading to some countries becoming unlikely allies working with a common purpose in the battle agai...
Investors look for reform and good governance on top of returns
Investors are facing continued low returns in the West as interest rates remain low in the short-term. This provides an opportunity for developing economies to attract money to invest and develop growth. But investors now want reforms and good governance in these countries as well as a return on their investment. <i&g...
Russia's President Putin fails to turn up the heat on Azerbaijan
Russian President Vladimir Putin’s first visit to Azerbaijan in more than seven years reflected the complex and sometimes strained relationship between the two oil producing countries - highlighted by Azerbaijan’s westward-oriented energy focus. But Moscow is intent on continuing its efforts to keep Azerbaijan in its sphere of influence while sending out warnings t...