Turkey’s energy foreign policy at a crossroads

Turkish gas imports in 2016
Due to its reliance on Russia for most of its natural gas imports, Turkey has been working to diversify its sources of gas as well as its energy mix overall (source: macpixxel for GIS)
  • Turkey sees the EU Southern Gas Corridor project as a priority
  • Moscow wants to undermine the initiative with its own pipelines through Turkey
  • The dilemma pits Turkey’s energy security and foreign policy objectives against each other

Until recently, Turkey has tended to prioritize its energy interests over foreign policy objectives. This no longer appears to be the case, as President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s domestic agenda increasingly overshadows other priorities. The change threatens Turkey’s long-term interests, both in terms of energy security and foreign policy.

Cooperation between Turkey and Russia on energy has increased in recent years. If this partnership grows closer, it could undermine the European Union’s Southern Gas Corridor project. Such a development would also threaten Turkey’s own energy security, and jeopardize economic and geopolitical interests that it shares with Azerbaijan.

Not a subscriber yet?

Subscribe now and get the latest in-depth geopolitical analysis and forecasts from GIS’s unrivaled cadre of experts.

Learn more about our subscription plans.

You can also buy this report for €8.99 Buy

Add your comment