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Kim Jong-un

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A poster of Yoshihide Suga
Report
Scenarios

New Opportunities 2021: Signs of stability in East Asia
Urs Schoettli
Urs Schoettli

Many expected the security situation in East Asia would be shaped by the special relationship between U.S. President Donald Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. However, with new leadership in both countries, an adaptation period will likely follow. Japanese expectations for the Biden administration will include security guarantees against Pyongyang as well as a de-escalation of the trade conflict with Beijing.

Teacher measuring the body temperature of a student in Seoul, South Korea
Report
Scenarios

South Korea points the way

Sociocultural factors can explain South Korea’s model reaction to the coronavirus pandemic. The country’s difficult postwar years led to a strong sense of civic duty, which led citizens to adhere meticulously to government guidelines. However, this success on the health front does not preclude economic difficulties amid the global recession.
Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen at a press conference in Phnom Penh
Report
Dossier

GIS Dossier: ASEAN

During its five decades of existence, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations has brought together a formerly divided region and laid the groundwork for the rise of a powerful regional – and possibly global – actor. However, the organization has experienced setbacks in recent years, most of them related to ...
 GIS Feature
GIS Feature
Seoul residents watching a broadcast of the meeting between the U.S. and North Korean leaders
Report
Scenarios

U.S. and North Korea: Restart of talks, but to what end?

The Trump administration had demonstrated a willingness to return to the negotiating table with North Korea. Pyongyang, however, continues to test the American commitment to a deal that would require complete denuclearization. In October, a technical negotiation between the two sides ended without progress. The North Korean strategy may be ...
 Dr. James Jay Carafano
Dr. James Jay Carafano
South Korean President Moon Jae-in at the White House, April 2019
Report
Scenarios

Trump-Kim summit game squeezes South Korea’s president

Spare a moment to consider the plight of South Korean President Moon Jae-in. In the three-way negotiation between Pyongyang, Washington and Seoul about denuclearizing the Korean peninsula, Mr. Moon has perhaps the most sensible policy and is certainly the most predictable player. Yet he is entirely overshadowed by his mercurial ...
 Urs Schoettli
Urs Schoettli
North Korea’s Kim Jong-un visits Beijing to meet President Xi Jinping in January 2019
Report
Scenarios

2019 Global Outlook: Playing for high stakes in North Korea

Less than a year after the Korean Peninsula appeared poised for war, little on the ground has changed. North Korea appears to be forging ahead with its nuclear program. Yet the public perception is that things are moving ahead on the diplomatic front, and there is even a whiff of ...
 Urs Schoettli
Urs Schoettli

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Will North Korea’s Kim Jong-un blunder from crisis to conflict?
Will North Korea’s Kim Jong-un blunder from crisis to conflict?
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Southeast Asia and China
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Southeast Asia and China

Southeast Asia has emerged as the Asian epicenter of the United States-China great power competition. At the same time, several other outside players are also competing there, including Japan, India and Europe. Gain insight on our experts’ scenarios for the region with this special offer.
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