Europe
Angela Merkel looks nearly certain to win another term as chancellor of Germany in September. The big question is what her next moves will be. Much of that will depend on her coalition partners in government, but one thing is sure: she will continue to be flexible and outsmart her opponents. She will also begin to shore up her legacy: making Germany relevant again, as a reliable, rational, and stable nation.
NATO
Tensions are rising as global power shifts toward China and Russia. Europe’s security is at risk. The countries on this northwestern edge of the Eurasian-African landmass must understand their special position in limiting incursions from the east toward the North Atlantic. This means providing for a robust defense and establishing a credible deterrent. If Europe fails to do this, it could become the battlefield in the next great global war.
North America
In no time, Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko was elevated from Donald Trump’s doghouse to the status of an honored guest at the White House. The U.S. president has discovered reasons to demonstrate to his NATO allies, and the world, his tough stand on Russia. As East-West tension mounts, the conflict over Donbas, a portion of eastern Ukraine captured by Moscow-backed secessionists, may quickly degenerate into a U.S.-Russia proxy war.
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