Latest reports
Opinion: Harmful attempts to plan and regulate the global economy
Governments’ tendency to overtax the economy, overregulate it and misallocate resources by subsidizing losers, has been hurting economic growth, innovation and competitiveness in many parts of the world, including Europe. Now, officials are discussing novel ways to introduce such disastrous practices on the global level. Their excuse is an alleged need to tax internet companies more and block cryptocurrencies.
Japan opts for another round of fiscal stimulus
Japan is looking for ways to reduce its public debt, currently worth more than 200 percent of its GDP. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has managed to raise the consumption tax, but the government’s budget for this year still relies on social programs to alleviate demographic limitations and convince consumers to ...
GIS Dossier: Leadership Challenges 2020 summary
Highlights of a series of reports published by Geopolitical Intelligence Services since the beginning of 2020. Leadership Challenges 2020 examines the link between the governing systems of 11 significant countries and their economic and social development prospects.
Burundi: Turmoil ahead?
In May 2020, President Pierre Nkurunziza will step down and the successor chosen by the regime will likely become the new leader of Burundi. However, these developments could trigger significant upheavals. Armed militias operating from Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of the Congo could decide to interfere, especially if the ...
Near-term scenarios for the U.S.-Iran competition
Reports that the recent U.S. and Iranian attacks against each other are leading to war significantly exaggerate the situation. Each country’s moves are part of long-standing strategies focused on influencing the other’s behavior. As such, similar activities can be expected in the near future. A military conflict, however, would benefit ...
Oman’s new ruler pledges to fulfill his predecessor’s legacy
The peaceful power transition that followed the death of Oman’s long-reigning sultan, Qaboos bin Said, is a testimony to the stability of the Al Said regime, especially in such a volatile region. However, the new sultan, Haitham bin Tariq, will face significant challenges if he wants to turn the country ...
Hidden agenda behind the Global Asset Registry project
A global asset registry (GAR) project aims to pinpoint the true owners – past, present and future – of all types of wealth now shielded from tax officials in safe havens across the globe. The project appears to be technically feasible. It is pursued by a group of tax specialists ...
Providing basis for decisions through focus on relevance, expert background, scenarios predictions
Professor Elisabeth Krecké
Elisabeth Krecké is a professor of economics at Aix Marseille ...
Professor Dr. Amatzia Baram
Dr. Amatzia Baram is Professor Emeritus at the Department of ...
Dr. Frank Umbach
Dr. Frank Umbach is the research director of the European ...
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri is the foreign editor of the Hindustan ...
Dr. Federica Saini Fasanotti
Federica Saini Fasanotti is a military historian and specialist in ...
Walter Lohman
As director of The Heritage Foundation’s Asian Studies Center, Walter ...
Diane Katz
GIS Guest Expert Diane Katz is a senior research fellow ...
Professor Stefan Hedlund
Stefan Hedlund is Professor and Research Director at the Centre ...
Global Trends Video Reports
The long ‘bridge’ of carbon capture and storage technology
There is no single magic bullet for turning global energy consumption patterns toward a cleaner future. Greening energy is not just about developing alternative sources of energy or ending the fossil-fuel era. Any technology that aims to reduce the environmental ...
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GIS on target predictions
Islamic State’s next target: Europe
GIS experts have frequently mentioned that once Islamic State (also known as ISIS or Daesh) was defeated in Iraq and Syria, it would not go away. Instead, it would spread its message – and send its fighters – across the world, with a special focus on Europe. With the organization claiming responsibility for a recent terror attack in London, those predictions seem to be coming true. As GIS expert Dr. Bernard Siman explained in a July 2017 report, one “child of Daesh” would comprise “the ongoing blowback of foreign fighters, especially from Syria, into Europe, which poses a sustained, long-term terrorist threat to mainland Europe itself.”
After Mosul and Raqqa, risks multiply
As the battle for Mosul concludes, the battle for Raqqa is entering its initial phase. From a military perspective, the fall of these twin bastions of Daesh was never in doubt. But tactical victories can only be turned into long-term strategic gains if a political process is put in place. ...
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Geopolitics are back on the agenda
Due to the fast changing international order geopolitics are back on the agenda. I believe that GIS makes a great contribution with analyses and insights that should help businesses and governments developing their responses.
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Nicaragua’s tortured path