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Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Libyan National Transitional Council Chairman Mustafa Abdel Jalil attend Friday prayers in Tripoli

Turkey’s moves on the Libyan chessboard

Turkey provides considerable assistance to the Libyan Government of National Accord in its war against the Libyan National Army in the hope of gaining access to the oil-rich Mediterranean Basin. More than religious sentiment, it is Prime Minister Erdogan’s wish to see Turkey become a key player in the region that drives this continuous involvement. If Field Marshal Haftar strikes back against Ankara, the latter could seek a rapid and brutal resolution of the conflict.

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GIS on target predictions

Xi-Trump meetings amid tensions

Throughout the ups and downs of the U.S.-China trade dispute, GIS has maintained that the two countries would eventually come to an agreement. We stuck with that prediction even after the November 2018 APEC meeting, when rhetoric on both sides became very heated. In a comment that same month, GIS Founder and Chairman Prince Michael of Liechtenstein posited that the antagonistic rhetoric used at the summit could allow both countries “to climb down and make a deal.” He noted that U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping had agreed to meet face-to-face at the G20 summit, “showing their intention to come to an understanding.” Such meetings would become more frequent, he predicted. The GIS founder was right on all counts: the two presidents declared a “truce” in the trade dispute (though it was short-lived, also as Prince Michael predicted). More meetings have taken place. Presidents Trump and Xi met again at the June 2019 G20 summit in Osaka, Japan, where yet another truce was declared.

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Geopolitics are back on the agenda

Due to the fast changing international order geopolitics are back on the agenda. I believe that GIS makes a great contribution with analyses and insights that should help businesses and governments developing their responses.

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