South & Southeast Asia
Vietnam has traditionally sought a maximum degree of autonomy. However, its geopolitics are dominated by competition between the United States and China, as well as Russia. How the machinations between these powers play out in the region will determine the choices Hanoi makes, as it tries to balance the benefits it receives from its alliances with its desire to hold back external influence.
Europe
Sovereign wealth funds have become an important tool for stabilizing the economies of oil and gas producers. In well-governed countries with strong institutions, they can substantially mitigate long-term risks. But in some developing states, the depletion or mismanagement of such funds could pose a serious threat.
Eastern & Southern Africa
Angola’s President Jose Eduardo dos Santos has announced he will retire in 2018. Potential successors include the country’s defense minister and the general secretary of the ruling party – both longtime dos Santos allies. Whether the transition will be smooth depends on how the economy fares and the new leadership’s ability to manage change. A power struggle – perhaps led by one of Mr. dos Santos’ children – is not out of the question.
Recommended Reports
Free reports
of Liechtenstein
Haze around Turkey and the Kurds