Search Results for: india
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: India’s evolving strategy in the Middle East
India is forging profitable new partnerships with Sunni Arab states as its economic profile grows and its ties with the U.S. and Israel strengthen. The changes are causing tension with its old ally Iran, which New Delhi still needs to keep Pakistan in check. This balancing act could leave India vulnerable to the Middle East’s notorious instability.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: India plans reforms shielded by robust economic growth
India will rely on targeted supply-side spending to help resurrect the country’s Covid-battered growth. Narendra Modi’s government also hopes to implement structural reforms – but those will only work if India’s economic recovery is as strong as expected.
-
Urs Schöttli: The burgeoning India-Japan partnership
Japan and India are fast enhancing their partnership. Both countries want to counteract China’s rise, especially in the Indian Ocean. The countries have strengthened economic and military ties, and together could challenge China at the sea. As Beijing attempts to project its power ever further, the Indo-Japanese partnership will only grow.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: Scenarios for India’s economy
New Delhi had an ambitious budget plan for the 2020-2021 fiscal year. Now that Covid hit, the government has a third of the Indian economy under lockdown and strives to preserve development momentum.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: India decides on force to break a pointless cycle
The latest round of fighting on the India-Pakistan border reveals a changed mood in New Delhi. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s decision to order an airstrike deep inside Pakistan is evidence of a more muscular policy taking shape in India. If Mr. Modi is reelected, India will likely be brandishing a bigger stick at its Western neighbor.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: Modi changes India’s Kashmir policy
For decades, India’s policy on the contested state of Jammu and Kashmir has been relatively stable, allowing autonomy in the region and seeking an agreement with Islamabad. However, relations with Sunni Kashmiris have increasingly frayed, and Prime Minister Narendra Modi has begun to shift its policy radically.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: With import ban, Modi seeks more arms made in India
With a new import ban on 101 kinds of weapons, Narendra Modi is continuing his quest to expand the domestic arms industry in India. The lack of arms manufacturing has been a concern since the 1960s. Despite criticisms, the latest efforts are bearing some fruit.
-
Barun S. Mitra: As Indian agriculture expands, farmers and reform prospects suffer
India’s food output has nearly quadrupled over the past 50 years, but farm households – more than half the country’s population – are in some ways worse off. Rural distress is weighing on the country’s politics and eroding the government’s political base.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: India’s stake in the Afghanistan conflict
India is happy that the United States has recommitted to fighting the Taliban in Afghanistan. Keeping them out of power will limit the influence of India’s longtime rival, Pakistan. But the U.S. commitment is tenuous, and President Donald Trump is a known skeptic of the war.
-
Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: Regional hegemony and control of the Tibetan plateau
The recent skirmishes along the Indo-Chinese borders are part of a larger regional conflict. Since China aims to acquire hegemony over many geostrategic points in the Himalayas – including access to several major waterways – military escalation is fated.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: Foreign policy during Modi’s second term
Indian Prime Minister currently enjoys high levels of trust among world leaders. He wants to make the most of this advantageous situation by simultaneously engaging with the U.S., China, and other strategic geopolitical partners, in addition to fostering better relations with smaller South Asian neighbors.
-
Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: Mounting tension in Asia
Tensions are rising in relations between the U.S. and China, especially after the recent APEC summit. However, the heightened rhetoric used there could give both countries a chance to climb down and come to a deal. Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping will have a perfect opportunity to do so during the G20 summit in Buenos Aires.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: Modi’s economy faces the voters
The Modi government in India entered the last year of its term with mixed economic results. The prime minister has moderated inflation and carried out important reforms, but growth remains slow, and many are pessimistic about their financial situation.
-
Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: New standoffs between China and India
China and India are beefing up their military capabilities again. The two Asian giants are confronting each other in traditional hotspots and in the Indian Ocean. War is still not in the cards, but the growing tensions between India and China adds to the region’s volatility.
-
Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: Shifting alliances in South Asia
Tensions have run high in South Asia, where the interests of China, India, and Pakistan clash. Lately, Beijing and Islamabad have stepped up cooperation, while India and the U.S. have grown closer. The region faces many unsettled conflicts. Nuclear deterrence is stabilizing the situation – but as pressure grows, its efficacy may weaken.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: India’s foreign currency reserves fairy tale
Once chronically short of dollars and pounds, India today has the fourth-largest foreign exchange reserves in the world. New Delhi’s challenge is modernizing its reserve management and leveraging this bounty to further the country’s international ambitions.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: India-Europe ties grow closer
The rise of China and changes in the U.S. policy have presented huge challenges for Europe and India. Their interests align with issues such as international trade and climate change. In the face of Brexit, India seeks partnership with other EU countries.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: Modi looks inward on trade
The government of India has implemented a protectionist policy on trade, taking measures to boost domestic manufacturing. Yet exports have failed to increase, in part because of red tape and poor logistics.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: Can India make its own weapons?
India seeks to make its own weapons. If the West wants to end India’s dependence on Russian arms, it will have to help New Delhi in these efforts.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: India nudges China toward Belt and Road changes
India has long warned of the strategic dangers posed by China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Today, many countries are voicing suspicions about the BRI’s potential effects. The project also faces difficulties due to financial problems within China. Beijing seems to be recasting the BRI as a more open project.
-
Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: Potential conflict between Asian giants
The mountainous border between India, China, and Pakistan is a dangerously underestimated trouble spot that could wreak havoc between Asia’s two emerging superpowers.
-
Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: The new geopolitical play
With the right statesmanship, a multipolar world can find its balance.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: India earns worldwide goodwill with its ‘pharma diplomacy’
Amid the Covid-19 pandemic, India is leveraging its status as the world leader in pharmaceutical manufacturing. However, if other countries make good on their plans to enhance their production capabilities, India’s exports could suffer in the longer run.
-
James Jay Carafano: India readies to face Trump’s trade ire
As the U.S.-China trade dispute drags on, Washington is gearing up to turn the screws on another trade partner: India. Though the countries are allies, U.S. officials chafe at India’s protectionist policies.
-
Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: Jammu and Kashmir and Hong Kong: Autonomies violated
The world is concerned about China’s violation of Hong Kong’s autonomy – but such moves are not limited to authoritarian regimes. India, the world’s largest democracy, has recently abolished autonomy for the region of Jammu and Kashmir.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: The rise and fall of India’s vaccine diplomacy
In early 2021, India was hailed as a hero for its successful vaccine diplomacy. When a second Covid wave hit, the country stopped sending vaccines abroad. If it does not get back on track by the end of this year, Beijing could take advantage.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: New Delhi contends with the Taliban regime
India expected a gradual departure of the US military from Afghanistan, and the rapid exit initially appeared like a serious setback. But the Taliban regime’s isolation on the world stage and its economic woes have made it less likely that they will pose a serious threat to India.
-
James Jay Carafano: America’s response to the Global South
The vast grouping of less-developed nations is experiencing a revival today. India, China and Russia are generally more engaged with them than the United States and Europe.
-
Alexander Neill: Prospects for civil war in Myanmar
The ongoing conflict in Myanmar has raised the specter of a full-blown civil war. As the country’s neighbors watch the instability unfold and consider whether to get involved, the potential for a larger, more protracted conflict increases.
-
Carole Nakhle: Bulls, bears and the first quarter of 2021
With average oil prices reaching pre-Covid levels, most financial institutions have adjusted their forecasts. However, the pandemic has not yet been fully brought under control – and renewed lockdowns could take investors by surprise.
-
Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: India, a handicapped giant
Faced with China’s emerging hegemony in Asia, India is defending its power status. New Delhi’s strategy is to invest in defense, align its policies with the United States and expand its regional alliances. However, India is increasingly concerned about containment by China.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: India’s growing interest in Taiwan
Until recently, Taiwan barely appeared on India’s geopolitical radar. Yet the subcontinent has become a beneficiary of the island’s trade. If a cross-strait conflict over Taiwan were to erupt, would India get involved?
-
Aparna Pande: India basks in prominence on the global stage
By hosting key international events this year, New Delhi hopes to reshape the world order in its favor.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: Apple bets on India as an emerging manufacturing power
The Indian government has announced a new production-linked incentive scheme that could turn the country into a phone making hub. Apple and Samsung will now relocate part of their supply chains – a big step for India’s technology sector.
-
Carole Nakhle: India and the Middle East: energy at the heart of new strategic partnerships
vated many of its relationships with countries in the Middle East to “strategic partnerships.” But how much substance is there to that moniker? Energy is the driving force behind the phenomenon: Indian demand for fossil fuels is rising sharply, while Middle Eastern countries want to shore up their positions in a crucial market.
-
Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: The beginning of the end of the G20?
The biggest takeaway from the recent G20 summit in India is the group’s diminished importance, owing to divisions among the member nations.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: India has limited ability to feed a hungry world
Government subsidies and inadequate investment have led to low agricultural productivity, often leaving India with harvests that can do little more than meet domestic food demand.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: 2019 Global Outlook: India turns inward
Ahead of the 2019 parliamentary elections, Prime Minister of India Modi has put aside his earlier economic reforms and talks mostly about social welfare. While the leader focuses on small-town voters, his government has put foreign policy initiatives on hold.
-
Walter Lohman: Southeast Asia’s future tied to great power competition
For years, China has combined skillful diplomacy with economic might to build partnerships in Southeast Asia. The U.S. has been more focused on security issues. The future of Southeast Asia depends on how the great power competition in the region will unfold.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: India’s growing influence in the Middle East
India has recently elevated its relationships with the United Arab Emirates, Israel and Iran, increasing its influence in the Middle East. But New Delhi has always preferred keeping the explosive region at arm’s length by dealing with only a few bilateral relationships.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: India’s geopolitical stake in the Myanmar crisis
Though the U.S. and Europe are pushing for sanctions against the military junta in Myanmar, India sees things differently. With regional partners, New Delhi is working on a deal behind the scenes – but the road toward true democracy for Myanmar will be long and arduous.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: Scenarios for the expansion of India’s super apps
Several large global technology firms have pumped billions of dollars of investments into India’s digital economy sector. The development reflects a trend toward “super apps” being created, helped along by favorable government policies.
-
Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: The changing balance in the Indian Ocean
A modern-day version of the 19th century’s “Great Game” features a dangerous axis of China, Russia and Iran.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: India revives its standing among neighbors
New Delhi has used economic levers to bring regional partners closer, taking advantage of a passive China.
-
Walter Lohman: India wades carefully into the Western Pacific
Since the 1990s, India has been strengthening its role in the Western Pacific. While it will continue to use its relationships with the United States, Japan, Singapore and Australia to strengthen its position, India must also be careful not to earn Beijing’s ire.
-
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: Scenarios for the India-China border conflict
As India and China continue to build infrastructure and expand their military forces along the disputed borders in the Himalayas, the hotspots are becoming hotter and the clashes more violent. The Asian giants’ old conflict has entered a new phase.
-
Barun S. Mitra: Can India bank on its banks?
As the ratio of nonperforming assets in India’s banking sector rises, there have been loud calls for reform. The condition of loan portfolios at state-controlled banks is now so parlous that it is choking off the availability of new credit and forcing the government into ever more ambitious recapitalization schemes.
-
Enrico Colombatto: Fast economic growth in 2021, but not for everybody
Many forecast that 2021 will be characterized by vigorous economic growth. The author takes a more discriminating view and argues that only a few countries, China among them, will be back on track.
-
Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: The real message from the BRICS summit
The countries of the Global South are increasingly asserting their own values and points of view – whether through the BRICS organization or otherwise
-
Rudolf G. Adam: Looming demographic shifts in the 21st century
The inevitable demographic changes of the next decades will have profound implications on migration and power relations between states.