Search Results for: india
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Peter Brookes: The persistent threat of global terrorism
The world is likely to remain vulnerable to terror attacks, given emboldened state sponsors like Iran, fragile states like Afghanistan and opportune targets around elections in Europe and Asia.
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John Polga-Hecimovich: Ecuador: Organized crime threatens the state
A rise in drug trafficking is destabilizing state institutions and the economy. The government is addressing the challenge with “iron fist” measures.
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Aparna Pande: Elections in South Asia key for regional dynamics
India is positioning itself for economic renewal to bolster regional alliances and strengthen security, while China looks for openings.
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Teresa Nogueira Pinto: Guinea-Bissau: The tug-of-war over governance
The president of the small, coups-prone West African nation, formerly an army general, sows instability to roll back constitutional changes that restrict his powers.
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Stefan Hedlund: Finland stands tall against Russia
NATO has expanded its Nordic membership, benefitting greatly from Finland’s provision of clear deterrence, but less so from Sweden which has some vulnerabilities to Russian threats.
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Henrique Schneider: Beijing’s motivation in China-Taliban relations
With the Taliban entrenched in power in Afghanistan, China is building up relations to prevent a security breakdown.
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Stefan Hedlund: India-Russia relations show renewed spark
The bilateral partnership is strong but has its limits as New Delhi seeks to develop closer ties with the West.
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Riley Walters: Managing global supply chains in a turbulent world
Global supply chains have stabilized following the pandemic, but geopolitics – namely risks from China – are creating new challenges that Western governments are facing head on.
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Carole Nakhle: Why Angola left OPEC
As OPEC strived to prop up oil prices with production limits for its members, Angola was caught between the organization’s policies and its own interests.
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Enrico Colombatto: The European Central Bank’s monetary policy is under pressure
As the specters of inflation and recession fade, demands for pro-growth eurozone monetary policy are becoming louder. The ECB has good reasons to hesitate.
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Federica Saini Fasanotti: Italy’s experiment: The Mattei Plan for Africa
Prime Minister Meloni wants to revolutionize Italy’s relationship with Africa. The plan has merits, but it would take more than one European country’s involvement to make it work.
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Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: New standoffs between China and India
China and India are beefing up their military capabilities again. The two Asian giants are confronting each other in traditional hotspots and in the Indian Ocean. War is still not in the cards, but the growing tensions between India and China adds to the region’s volatility.
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Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: Shifting alliances in South Asia
Tensions have run high in South Asia, where the interests of China, India, and Pakistan clash. Lately, Beijing and Islamabad have stepped up cooperation, while India and the U.S. have grown closer. The region faces many unsettled conflicts. Nuclear deterrence is stabilizing the situation – but as pressure grows, its efficacy may weaken.
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Pierre Boussel: Iran works to spread its revolutionary message
Tehran bides its time while churning out vitriol with a hegemonic vision: that its revolutionary ethos transcends time, defies the West and unites Islam.
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Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: Modi looks inward on trade
The government of India has implemented a protectionist policy on trade, taking measures to boost domestic manufacturing. Yet exports have failed to increase, in part because of red tape and poor logistics.
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Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: The new geopolitical play
With the right statesmanship, a multipolar world can find its balance.
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Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: India-Europe ties grow closer
The rise of China and changes in the U.S. policy have presented huge challenges for Europe and India. Their interests align with issues such as international trade and climate change. In the face of Brexit, India seeks partnership with other EU countries.
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Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: Scenarios for India’s economy
New Delhi had an ambitious budget plan for the 2020-2021 fiscal year. Now that Covid hit, the government has a third of the Indian economy under lockdown and strives to preserve development momentum.
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Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: India nudges China toward Belt and Road changes
India has long warned of the strategic dangers posed by China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Today, many countries are voicing suspicions about the BRI’s potential effects. The project also faces difficulties due to financial problems within China. Beijing seems to be recasting the BRI as a more open project.
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Aleksandra Gadzala Tirziu: Rising tensions along the Indian-Chinese border
India and China are engaged in an infrastructure-building competition along disputed border areas, raising the risk of escalation between the nuclear-armed powers.
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Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: India’s evolving strategy in the Middle East
India is forging profitable new partnerships with Sunni Arab states as its economic profile grows and its ties with the U.S. and Israel strengthen. The changes are causing tension with its old ally Iran, which New Delhi still needs to keep Pakistan in check. This balancing act could leave India vulnerable to the Middle East’s notorious instability.
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Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: With import ban, Modi seeks more arms made in India
With a new import ban on 101 kinds of weapons, Narendra Modi is continuing his quest to expand the domestic arms industry in India. The lack of arms manufacturing has been a concern since the 1960s. Despite criticisms, the latest efforts are bearing some fruit.
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Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: India plans reforms shielded by robust economic growth
India will rely on targeted supply-side spending to help resurrect the country’s Covid-battered growth. Narendra Modi’s government also hopes to implement structural reforms – but those will only work if India’s economic recovery is as strong as expected.
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Barun S. Mitra: As Indian agriculture expands, farmers and reform prospects suffer
India’s food output has nearly quadrupled over the past 50 years, but farm households – more than half the country’s population – are in some ways worse off. Rural distress is weighing on the country’s politics and eroding the government’s political base.
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Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: Can India make its own weapons?
India seeks to make its own weapons. If the West wants to end India’s dependence on Russian arms, it will have to help New Delhi in these efforts.
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Aparna Pande: India’s good year
The world’s most populous nation is on the rise, strengthening its position through high-profile events and aligning with both Western and non-Western groupings.
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Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: India decides on force to break a pointless cycle
The latest round of fighting on the India-Pakistan border reveals a changed mood in New Delhi. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s decision to order an airstrike deep inside Pakistan is evidence of a more muscular policy taking shape in India. If Mr. Modi is reelected, India will likely be brandishing a bigger stick at its Western neighbor.
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Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: Regional hegemony and control of the Tibetan plateau
The recent skirmishes along the Indo-Chinese borders are part of a larger regional conflict. Since China aims to acquire hegemony over many geostrategic points in the Himalayas – including access to several major waterways – military escalation is fated.
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Stefan Hedlund: A tough test for Georgian democracy
Voters in Georgia will cast votes this October with outsized geopolitical implications, either paving the way for regional democratic gains or a return of servility to Moscow.
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Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: Scenarios for the India-China border conflict
As India and China continue to build infrastructure and expand their military forces along the disputed borders in the Himalayas, the hotspots are becoming hotter and the clashes more violent. The Asian giants’ old conflict has entered a new phase.
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Barun S. Mitra: Can India bank on its banks?
As the ratio of nonperforming assets in India’s banking sector rises, there have been loud calls for reform. The condition of loan portfolios at state-controlled banks is now so parlous that it is choking off the availability of new credit and forcing the government into ever more ambitious recapitalization schemes.
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Jeff M. Smith: The Kashmir crisis exerts pressure on both the U.S. and China
The conflict over Kashmir has led to three wars and countless skirmishes between India and Pakistan. As tensions are building up again in the region, outside powers cooperate to prevent the worst. Washington’s and Beijing’s influence over the decision-making process of the two nuclear weapons-armed states may be gradually waning.
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Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: India’s stake in the Afghanistan conflict
India is happy that the United States has recommitted to fighting the Taliban in Afghanistan. Keeping them out of power will limit the influence of India’s longtime rival, Pakistan. But the U.S. commitment is tenuous, and President Donald Trump is a known skeptic of the war.
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Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: Potential conflict between Asian giants
The mountainous border between India, China, and Pakistan is a dangerously underestimated trouble spot that could wreak havoc between Asia’s two emerging superpowers.
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Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: India, a handicapped giant
Faced with China’s emerging hegemony in Asia, India is defending its power status. New Delhi’s strategy is to invest in defense, align its policies with the United States and expand its regional alliances. However, India is increasingly concerned about containment by China.
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Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: Modi changes India’s Kashmir policy
For decades, India’s policy on the contested state of Jammu and Kashmir has been relatively stable, allowing autonomy in the region and seeking an agreement with Islamabad. However, relations with Sunni Kashmiris have increasingly frayed, and Prime Minister Narendra Modi has begun to shift its policy radically.
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Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: India’s growing influence in the Middle East
India has recently elevated its relationships with the United Arab Emirates, Israel and Iran, increasing its influence in the Middle East. But New Delhi has always preferred keeping the explosive region at arm’s length by dealing with only a few bilateral relationships.
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James Jay Carafano: India tilts West as Russian ties cool
With China and Russia tightening their alliance, India is reacting by improving its ties with the United States, Europe and other Asian nations.
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Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: India’s geopolitical stake in the Myanmar crisis
Though the U.S. and Europe are pushing for sanctions against the military junta in Myanmar, India sees things differently. With regional partners, New Delhi is working on a deal behind the scenes – but the road toward true democracy for Myanmar will be long and arduous.
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Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: Modi aims to leave a lasting mark on India
Narendra Modi wants to make profound reforms to the economy, ideology, and welfare of India. The reforms have met stiff resistance so far. Add to this the rising importance of Hindu nationalists, and 2020 looks set to be his most tough year.
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James Jay Carafano: A free and open Indo-Pacific: Regional and global implications
One of the techniques devised for managing China’s ascent and its destabilizing impact is the concept of a “free and open Indo-Pacific.” This idea, embraced by the governments of Japan, India and the United States, includes military, economic, political, legal and diplomatic dimensions.
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Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: Foreign policy during Modi’s second term
Indian Prime Minister currently enjoys high levels of trust among world leaders. He wants to make the most of this advantageous situation by simultaneously engaging with the U.S., China, and other strategic geopolitical partners, in addition to fostering better relations with smaller South Asian neighbors.
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Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: India earns worldwide goodwill with its ‘pharma diplomacy’
Amid the Covid-19 pandemic, India is leveraging its status as the world leader in pharmaceutical manufacturing. However, if other countries make good on their plans to enhance their production capabilities, India’s exports could suffer in the longer run.
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Michael Leigh: Is multi-alignment a path to chaos or order?
A truly multipolar world would dilute the importance of China and the United States, but the two superpower rivals are not going to cede influence easily.
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Aparna Pande: India basks in prominence on the global stage
By hosting key international events this year, New Delhi hopes to reshape the world order in its favor.
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Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: Apple bets on India as an emerging manufacturing power
The Indian government has announced a new production-linked incentive scheme that could turn the country into a phone making hub. Apple and Samsung will now relocate part of their supply chains – a big step for India’s technology sector.
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Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: The rise and fall of India’s vaccine diplomacy
In early 2021, India was hailed as a hero for its successful vaccine diplomacy. When a second Covid wave hit, the country stopped sending vaccines abroad. If it does not get back on track by the end of this year, Beijing could take advantage.
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Carole Nakhle: India and the Middle East: energy at the heart of new strategic partnerships
vated many of its relationships with countries in the Middle East to “strategic partnerships.” But how much substance is there to that moniker? Energy is the driving force behind the phenomenon: Indian demand for fossil fuels is rising sharply, while Middle Eastern countries want to shore up their positions in a crucial market.
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Prince Michael of Liechtenstein: The beginning of the end of the G20?
The biggest takeaway from the recent G20 summit in India is the group’s diminished importance, owing to divisions among the member nations.
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Pramit Pal Chaudhuri: Sino-Indian relations after the Wuhan summit
In late April, President Xi Jinping and Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi held an “informal summit” during which they reached a tacit understanding to turn down the heat on their countries’ relationship. But without any concrete steps taken to solve the Asian giants’ big disagreements, renewed confrontation is only a matter of time.